Premier League · resolved market
Will West Ham win on 2024-12-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4de3757f9f11cc67701ed309f4d929b2e6dee4dada9a3332e42de995c6272edb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $594,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $748,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $594,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 55c | 274,812$149,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,821.61 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a627backed No | 45c | 176,434$80,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,159.7 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 45c | 77,262$35,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,113.25 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 46c | 10,055$4,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,624.55 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed No | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 2c | 4,723$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.46 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +15.6wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +437.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 21c | 4,271$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.62 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…67c7backed Yes | 54c | 4,209$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 46c | 3,992$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.39 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 54c | 3,100$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.91 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2a…9146backed No | 46c | 2,610$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 16c | 1,706$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.95 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 40c | 1,500$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.99 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e3…6396backed Yes | 54c | 1,109$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 65c | 1,014$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.2 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 53c | 845.32$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.3 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Yes | 54c | 698.3$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.22 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 21c | 686.98$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.49 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 76c | 678.72$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.49 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…b299backed No | 51c | 549.01$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf848…03abbacked No | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed No | 66c | 499.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Yes | 54c | 444.44$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.44 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 54c | 432.34$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.88 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 18c | 382.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Yes | 52c | 298.74$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.39 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…6bb2backed Yes | 55c | 278.39$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.33 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde6a…d9b8backed Yes | 49c | 269.55$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed Yes | 54c | 260$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 34c | 224$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.84 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 48c | 203.81$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.75 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…1090backed Yes | 52c | 202$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba8…0db7backed No | 45c | 186.14$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8b…425cbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…75f2backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…05e2backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d09…0baabacked Yes | 67c | 181.31$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 48c | 162.14$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.83 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369a…442abacked Yes | 54c | 160.76$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 46c | 155$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 17c | 137.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 64c | 136.42$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Yes | 54c | 110.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 48c | 105$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 49c | 101.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…4517backed Yes | 46c | 100.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c4…6b1abacked No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…d498backed No | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…2037backed No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…3d5fbacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Yes | 55c | 65.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…f3ffbacked Yes | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75e…f537backed Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…18f4backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x096e…8a38backed Yes | 53c | 49.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b96…f366backed No | 48c | 48.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…14cebacked Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38db…3090backed No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x305c…64a7backed No | 47c | 38.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…64a0backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8267…5346backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…63f1backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 54c | 36.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…b502backed Yes | 59c | 35.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 63cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 45c | 34.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bb…ad38backed Yes | 53c | 30.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5370…69a9backed No | 47c | 28.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…4732backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…eccabacked Yes | 54c | 26.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…ec7ebacked No | 47c | 25.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddfa…4678backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…93c4backed Yes | 54c | 24.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a2…cd8abacked No | 47c | 23.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e4…a71fbacked Yes | 53c | 23.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb1…b2c2backed Yes | 54c | 20.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f0…a651backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Ham win on 2024-12-09?this page
- Will West Ham vs. Wolves end in a draw?No won
- Will Wolves win on 2024-12-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.