Premier League · resolved market
Will West Ham vs. Wolves end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x537dd08428d3b142507a975ec6f78e99a4123ef7fe38f5b194074792f77261ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Yes | 20c | 2,220$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.2 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a627backed No | 74c | 1,779$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.74 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 20c | 1,183$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.5 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked No | 75c | 900$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +40%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Yes | 25c | 900$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 29c | 684$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 71c | 544$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.51 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…3d5fbacked No | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 28c | 306.92$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.49 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…8319backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6075…23edbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 75c | 150$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…05e2backed Yes | 67c | 149.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…0050backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 14c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 33c | 115.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3a30…30cfbacked Yes | 13c | 113.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e9…7003backed Yes | 14c | 109$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…c531backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa946…9da9backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed No | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Yes | 31c | 61.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…a7dcbacked Yes | 32c | 61.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64a…21dabacked Yes | 22c | 54.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Yes | 24c | 52.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe48e…8f7dbacked Yes | 23c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +301.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed No | 76c | 21.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Ham vs. Wolves end in a draw?this page
- Will West Ham win on 2024-12-09?Yes won
- Will Wolves win on 2024-12-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.