Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves win on 2024-12-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79df6078f925618abbfb0273d1f2206a80b150d10dffc4144b593e1f9fc7487a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 79c | 8,571$6,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.98 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a627backed Yes | 22c | 5,635$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.05 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2d…673fbacked No | 78c | 2,642$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,888$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.75 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 80c | 1,225$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.25 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Yes | 2c | 1,210$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 77c | 1,151$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.71 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes | 5c | 768.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +301.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Yes | 23c | 499.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 77c | 460.83$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 23c | 434.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 7c | 341.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed No | 77c | 279.22$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.22 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ece…cff3backed Yes | 24c | 221.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…0050backed Yes | 14c | 187.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 79c | 177$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe223…f32ebacked Yes | 23c | 165.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 22c | 160.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 77c | 147.83$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…72d6backed Yes | 23c | 147.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 22c | 144.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 23c | 119.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Yes | 21c | 96.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…ec44backed No | 78c | 81.36$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…14cebacked Yes | 27c | 45.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1639…4b06backed No | 77c | 32.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 78c | 29.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a8…7795backed No | 78c | 29.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb894…0ffcbacked No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…5132backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…3e33backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a3…7838backed No | 78c | 18.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves win on 2024-12-09?this page
- Will West Ham vs. Wolves end in a draw?No won
- Will West Ham win on 2024-12-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.