TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Nets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Bulls, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,173
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,470

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,173 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6761…a94fbacked Bulls18c19,481$3,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,435.139248.9%45 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Nets58c7,570$4,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,170.8370147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa3…dc66backed Nets43c3,496$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,989.996943.5%30 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Bulls50c3,258$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640.8265642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb228…2734backed Bulls46c3,253$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.452520%5 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-48.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Bulls6c1,962$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.231,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Nets53c1,800$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.9913857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Nets53c1,397$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.0661532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd968…bd18backed Nets56c1,300$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5728334.9%29 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Nets53c1,000$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.3526547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Nets37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63019152.4%100 W · 91 L+16.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Bulls50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb129…e61abacked Nets59c845.22$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.54757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+51.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Bulls55c826.19$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.3311332.7%37 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e3…21d5backed Bulls46c755$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.31163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d86…537abacked Nets53c754.5$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.621844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Nets54c607.6$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.0736748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa17…b1ecbacked Bulls47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2821338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd09…4198backed Bulls53c562.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005862.1%36 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351a…520cbacked Bulls48c538.69$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed Nets53c474.73$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.736429.7%19 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd0a…63abbacked Nets54c442.28$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.374434.1%15 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked Bulls47c419.8$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.162152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd244…f24cbacked Bulls26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002536%9 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x487f…30babacked Bulls47c340$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.85248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf64…7e54backed Nets53c340$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.85250%26 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Nets76c303.14$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6147656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0e…68e6backed Nets50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab8a…681abacked Nets71c299.99$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874045%18 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Nets53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.028347%39 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Bulls41c269.69$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8522430.8%69 W · 155 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca93…5355backed Nets79c260.7$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.75366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Bulls11c250$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.56238.7%24 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2376…30f5backed Bulls31c243.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758359%49 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Bulls47c219.98$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.396746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Bulls24c203.21$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7727631.2%86 W · 190 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c56…dfa1backed Bulls35c196.28$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.282425%6 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ec…bbcabacked Nets55c176.47$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.412100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+129.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb830…4c39backed Nets55c176.47$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecf8…494ebacked Nets55c176.47$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5618…1a22backed Bulls47c176.47$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x395b…dc41backed Bulls47c176.47$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x802b…cb49backed Bulls47c176.47$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9857…be38backed Bulls29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503844.7%17 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+40.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x532f…7214backed Bulls38c159.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Nets60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6036057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Nets53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.51,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Nets69c146.68$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8753250.4%268 W · 264 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe4f…5241backed Bulls27c143.47$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7215341.8%64 W · 89 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa807…9a61backed Nets68c141.1$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.25580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+35.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…dd8ebacked Bulls39c130.77$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed Nets53c129.07$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.666141%25 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd87…01a9backed Bulls33c110.1$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c81…1a5cbacked Bulls46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff9c…2c98backed Nets53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476038.3%23 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8c6…9211backed Bulls35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3514847.3%70 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda67…b950backed Bulls27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274944.9%22 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Bulls45c99.97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9929355.3%162 W · 131 L+1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7439…40d2backed Bulls33c93.48$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8524844%109 W · 139 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Nets56c67.59$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7418316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x919d…6159backed Bulls32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc00a…1a53backed Bulls49c61.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.921050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd584…fe14backed Nets56c60.71$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.71728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-42%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebe1…7a5bbacked Bulls42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c4b…f1e6backed Nets69c57.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.975856.9%33 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6097…c40dbacked Bulls40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0615…5c47backed Bulls24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213823.2%32 W · 106 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ce7…fd4abacked Bulls38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1914057.9%81 W · 59 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Bulls45c49.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.516443.3%71 W · 93 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e2…e2ebbacked Nets56c43.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.111553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8140…b92fbacked Bulls47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50d2…0d35backed Bulls47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4442…d5c1backed Bulls48c42.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.37955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+44.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a01…05cebacked Bulls38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-56.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31b7…21fbbacked Nets71c38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.081877.8%14 W · 4 L+5.2wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+79.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd5be…8728backed Nets53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.742236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5248…1b57backed Bulls50c35.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2155…0416backed Bulls30c35.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.662544%11 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fdd…f697backed Bulls50c35.18$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe819…24f8backed Nets56c35.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.461650%8 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f9…25ccbacked Bulls46c34.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf65d…90f4backed Nets58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.48944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x664e…ac71backed Nets52c33.83$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8369…3c94backed Nets64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.256547.7%31 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60b9…f457backed Bulls48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.43540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b16…9bc6backed Bulls47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.14247.6%20 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Nets67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8529635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…93c4backed Nets55c28.58$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.861369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90a2…cd8abacked Bulls46c26.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.351758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b95…ebe9backed Nets56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7913847.8%66 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5138…1d4dbacked Bulls47c26.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.259645.8%44 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1872…1962backed Nets55c26.11$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.759154.9%50 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c05…fc5ebacked Nets53c25.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.872944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x490e…3a25backed Bulls46c23.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.911625%4 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2fe…24d4backed Nets52c21.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.15966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x354d…c5abbacked Nets74c20.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.272378.3%18 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick69cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2fc…f344backed Nets50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-50.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2190…36babacked Nets53c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.932653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.