NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51b9bc62681fbd2230c095e1acc322ee90acfd6abbabf422958074b1e352fdf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Cavaliers, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Heat | 70c | 50,639$35,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,369.44 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Cavaliers | 24c | 23,037$5,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,472.87 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…a536backed Cavaliers | 60c | 19,787$11,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,774.9 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Cavaliers | 8c | 9,032$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.66 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Heat | 40c | 8,899$3,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,295.5 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Heat | 43c | 7,762$3,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,448.77 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Heat | 42c | 7,700$3,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,468.1 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Cavaliers | 57c | 7,477$4,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,272.06 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Cavaliers | 59c | 5,554$3,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,277.12 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Cavaliers | 62c | 4,000$2,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,465.95 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Cavaliers | 59c | 3,933$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.9 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Heat | 39c | 3,234$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.58 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Heat | 42c | 2,113$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.72 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d52…94c4backed Heat | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.97 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Heat | 41c | 1,944$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.02 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Heat | 41c | 1,400$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Cavaliers | 29c | 1,400$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.36 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Cavaliers | 13c | 1,378$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.78 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…4a1fbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 1,250$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Heat | 42c | 1,200$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.29 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Heat | 39c | 1,162$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.52 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6d…81c2backed Cavaliers | 17c | 1,127$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.65 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…5b47backed Cavaliers | 39c | 1,125$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.33 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Cavaliers | 15c | 1,005$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cavaliers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Cavaliers | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Cavaliers | 61c | 999.99$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.99 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Heat | 41c | 999.97$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.98 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb341…cbdcbacked Heat | 42c | 923.88$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Cavaliers | 68c | 885.45$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Cavaliers | 59c | 849.07$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Heat | 39c | 819.9$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.16 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Heat | 41c | 717.31$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.12 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 699.99$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.99 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…e4eebacked Heat | 79c | 598.14$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.61 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Cavaliers | 60c | 586.04$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.38 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Cavaliers | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Cavaliers | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heat | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.99 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Cavaliers | 56c | 483.77$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.91 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…1090backed Heat | 43c | 480$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked Cavaliers | 57c | 480$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.6 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Heat | 39c | 471.33$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Cavaliers | 68c | 458$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.44 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -14.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…8a30backed Cavaliers | 61c | 455.55$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.77 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Heat | 40c | 440.6$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.81 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Cavaliers | 57c | 439.75$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.66 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Cavaliers | 69c | 433.86$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers | 57c | 417.5$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.5 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56dd…5d25backed Heat | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…f21ebacked Cavaliers | 58c | 399.98$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.99 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c1…90c1backed Heat | 42c | 354.76$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cavaliers | 58c | 354.56$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.64 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc00…57f5backed Cavaliers | 59c | 351.56$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…7bcabacked Heat | 43c | 325.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.81 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8580…4612backed Cavaliers | 16c | 316.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…2093backed Cavaliers | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Heat | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Heat | 46c | 265.35$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Cavaliers | 57c | 265.11$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.11 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b9…6a5ebacked Heat | 58c | 264.3$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.67 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Cavaliers | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Heat | 40c | 254.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.85 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Cavaliers | 45c | 246.8$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 244 | 62.3%152 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Heat | 51c | 236.05$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.95 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Heat | 43c | 234.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.46 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc8…951abacked Cavaliers | 57c | 227.09$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Cavaliers | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Heat | 37c | 203.04$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.09 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Cavaliers | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Cavaliers | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Heat | 51c | 192.01$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fba…8877backed Cavaliers | 61c | 187.04$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Heat | 39c | 181$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.24 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed Cavaliers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9156…5932backed Cavaliers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34ee…3605backed Heat | 42c | 170.65$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc797…3a1cbacked Cavaliers | 58c | 170.65$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Cavaliers | 56c | 170.24$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21fa…42b9backed Heat | 41c | 170.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…55e4backed Cavaliers | 59c | 170.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 501 | 44.7%224 W · 277 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Heat | 24c | 167.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.01 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39bd…1027backed Cavaliers | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…3113backed Cavaliers | 63c | 159.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 233 | 59.7%139 W · 94 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Heat | 39c | 158.75$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.13 | 258 | 51.6%133 W · 125 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…826bbacked Heat | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Cavaliers | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…90d7backed Cavaliers | 68c | 147.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…b468backed Cavaliers | 61c | 136$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Heat | 40c | 129.91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.95 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Cavaliers | 61c | 125.68$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.46 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…c75ebacked Cavaliers | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 32c | 120.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…a099backed Cavaliers | 47c | 119.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb30…cafebacked Heat | 39c | 118$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435c…d8acbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 117.09$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6d…6c66backed Cavaliers | 60c | 101.88$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.