Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x391b5810c2593346a645bdd5fdc7ce739281e2174295f5f14e559ec1d45bd7f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 50c | 9,996$5,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,970.3 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 50c | 4,154$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.45 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Yes | 50c | 2,576$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.97 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…9d39backed Yes | 48c | 1,963$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 51c | 1,925$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35c…e1bebacked No | 51c | 1,764$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cb…710dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,744$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 51c | 1,691$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.61 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…64abbacked Yes | 49c | 1,685$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.82 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b3…4b03backed No | 51c | 1,666$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1cf5backed Yes | 49c | 1,526$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes | 50c | 1,458$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.08 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Yes | 49c | 1,430$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 47c | 1,357$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.26 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb7…517dbacked Yes | 50c | 1,217$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 50c | 1,096$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 50c | 1,053$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.76 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15df…9465backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed No | 58c | 1,005$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.17 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed No | 49c | 999.97$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 49c | 999.92$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.96 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 63c | 988.11$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.08 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 49c | 975.6$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.73 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…e793backed No | 53c | 933$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.51 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…3757backed Yes | 48c | 900$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3403…876bbacked Yes | 53c | 849.06$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 46c | 725$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.99 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 48c | 668.77$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.76 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd3…3c5abacked Yes | 43c | 658.42$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.88 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…d02cbacked Yes | 50c | 642.09$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Yes | 49c | 608.31$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.99 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked No | 53c | 550.03$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.51 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 50c | 538.24$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.12 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…5e8dbacked Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b16…9decbacked Yes | 52c | 498.08$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa946…9da9backed Yes | 52c | 491.51$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf322…a2c1backed Yes | 49c | 469.84$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 70c | 454.16$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.16 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 49c | 451.01$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.87 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…a0b7backed Yes | 51c | 439.52$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 49c | 419.06$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.72 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 51c | 415$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.65 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8abf…6d69backed Yes | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 64cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Yes | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x793a…197abacked No | 51c | 352.59$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…57acbacked Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…8fc9backed Yes | 51c | 294.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…9a61backed Yes | 51c | 268.76$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06d…11cabacked Yes | 51c | 247.75$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdff…3e7fbacked Yes | 49c | 242.65$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Yes | 35c | 228.23$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.88 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x229d…0922backed No | 50c | 221$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb149…77a4backed Yes | 50c | 221$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce62…73d5backed Yes | 33c | 220$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…c94dbacked Yes | 50c | 212$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d1…8859backed No | 50c | 212$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b12…79cbbacked No | 51c | 211.25$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783e…fb1abacked Yes | 50c | 211$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…7fe2backed No | 50c | 211$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ee…e21dbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 50c | 202.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 54c | 200.19$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…b949backed No | 51c | 196.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Yes | 49c | 193.1$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ce…4711backed Yes | 50c | 193.05$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 51c | 191.53$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f77…5ab3backed No | 52c | 190.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…f430backed Yes | 49c | 187.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…1d0cbacked No | 52c | 184.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 50c | 181$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…2bc3backed No | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7adc…7603backed Yes | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 50c | 167$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.65 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f15…174bbacked Yes | 75c | 161.75$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…f213backed No | 25c | 161.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.31 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +64%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bca…fff1backed Yes | 51c | 155.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e30…9e6fbacked Yes | 59c | 152.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes | 48c | 149.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…7f80backed No | 65c | 148.02$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed No | 53c | 140$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0129…53cebacked No | 48c | 136.22$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 50c | 135.59$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ac…e4a5backed Yes | 51c | 127.75$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…aeb9backed Yes | 48c | 122.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed Yes | 49c | 119.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…edeabacked No | 51c | 119$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-02?this page
- Will Newcastle vs. Arsenal end in a draw?No won
- Will Newcastle win on 2024-11-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.