TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Celtics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Knicks, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$151,904
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$159,095

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,904 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3361…1150backed Knicks32c30,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,60010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Knicks33c29,179$9,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,628.9611443.9%50 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…e92cbacked Knicks32c25,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3f…b579backed Celtics68c22,000$14,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,040475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cfe…757fbacked Celtics68c18,000$12,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,7601100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe822…84bdbacked Celtics68c15,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8001100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Celtics67c14,824$9,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,887.629248.9%45 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Celtics67c9,060$6,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,019.6927546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Knicks15c5,820$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.3361532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd03c…218ebacked Celtics69c3,823$2,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Knicks31c3,028$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.278219.5%16 W · 66 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc43f…c86dbacked Knicks34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bdb…4a63backed Celtics67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9901100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Knicks31c2,716$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.894035%14 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a68…003abacked Celtics69c2,450$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.62757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Celtics66c2,077$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.7565642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Celtics69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62010058%58 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Celtics67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.9913857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Knicks6c1,875$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.971,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x983b…cac5backed Knicks34c1,765$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.99540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7297…e44dbacked Knicks31c1,661$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea90…07ffbacked Knicks33c1,661$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e4a…950dbacked Celtics70c1,660$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.113100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde6a…596fbacked Celtics67c1,597$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.91361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00fa…30bebacked Celtics69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.281020%2 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9f1…a619backed Knicks5c1,355$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.73425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2008…db34backed Knicks32c1,244$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Knicks5c1,202$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.118436.9%31 W · 53 L-10.5wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xca39…2c09backed Knicks6c1,046$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7106…fb79backed Celtics69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3106955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Celtics67c999.99$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked Knicks31c900$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28314852.7%78 W · 70 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f32…8463backed Knicks12c836.49$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.631822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Knicks3c834.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.086113.1%8 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick16cpaid+37.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3d…5bdfbacked Knicks33c756.61$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e79…2bb8backed Knicks34c680$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c6c…7553backed Knicks33c501.97$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Celtics70c500$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.56238.7%24 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f2…0659backed Knicks32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2747…cf42backed Knicks34c454.07$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.341428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x530f…8714backed Celtics69c446.78$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.5862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c8…e7acbacked Celtics69c406.96$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.163652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cd3…3c5abacked Celtics70c379.5$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.51625%4 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-50.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x87df…a242backed Knicks33c378.81$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick29cpaid-63.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e9…3568backed Celtics69c378.68$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ea…22ecbacked Knicks26c348.75$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.81450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4019…8e5ebacked Celtics67c340$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b33…b005backed Knicks32c323.29$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Knicks32c315.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010441.3%43 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Knicks32c314.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100230%0 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x08d0…751dbacked Knicks32c306.93$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2250%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x91b6…a941backed Knicks6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bb6…3087backed Celtics68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe54b…d268backed Celtics67c299.94$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.983528.6%10 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-52.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1156…f8adbacked Celtics68c299.23$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.75683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick64cpaid+36%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3d6…2a65backed Knicks34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c47…970ebacked Celtics69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.861361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa34d…1de4backed Knicks9c279.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.55721.1%12 W · 45 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8258…f208backed Knicks33c279.28$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.167032.9%23 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x242f…286ebacked Celtics78c274.48$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.341442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x208d…362dbacked Celtics71c270$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.31546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick64cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7403…102bbacked Celtics70c264.9$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.521450%7 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaeab…7afebacked Knicks19c259.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb6e…bbe5backed Knicks31c256.26$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1358…1af4backed Knicks30c250.2$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.06742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-37.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Celtics69c250$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.59618.8%18 W · 78 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x913c…6e48backed Celtics67c249.95$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.48785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick60cpaid+37%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x453d…0d27backed Celtics69c238.99$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x557a…5459backed Celtics67c230$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick66cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x138e…f3edbacked Celtics67c220$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce7…fd4abacked Celtics69c213.91$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3114057.9%81 W · 59 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x950a…1d02backed Knicks31c212.2$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbab…ae77backed Knicks31c212.18$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7830%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Celtics68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb2…6dbebacked Celtics69c200$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0328…d834backed Knicks31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621020%2 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Celtics68c199.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6807…391ebacked Celtics69c198.52$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.531560%9 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c7…053ebacked Knicks31c195$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.453342.4%14 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe458…a937backed Knicks31c192.83$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4edd…f6dcbacked Celtics69c180.64$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cfa…12a3backed Knicks31c180$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.87337%27 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…e46ebacked Knicks34c171.47$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.31010%1 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick28cpaid-87.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc472…8d5abacked Knicks32c164.56$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61af…a1b2backed Knicks16c151.52$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33dc…9661backed Celtics67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.58658.1%50 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc60…3e66backed Celtics69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.51877.8%14 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe286…7735backed Celtics72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.891553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8da9…7120backed Celtics67c136.36$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x569b…9667backed Knicks31c135$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.851233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-41.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13ab…7f03backed Celtics70c124.56$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0760…c72ebacked Celtics70c122.63$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.392147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2d…c4d9backed Knicks33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+191.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04a…824ebacked Knicks13c120.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.26829.4%20 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2fa…43adbacked Celtics69c120$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.21560%9 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d81…08cfbacked Celtics67c120$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e95…a0e4backed Knicks34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed Knicks31c112.8$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.974348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x141c…16ebbacked Celtics69c105.8$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.82774.1%20 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4afa…16c1backed Celtics69c101.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.451145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.