TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Pelicans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thunderof Thunder, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$163,772
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$189,208

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,772 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pelicans25c15,154$3,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,788.5365642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Pelicans0c11,250$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2525833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Thunder75c10,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8f8…5660backed Pelicans0c6,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510440.4%42 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Pelicans16c5,636$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.7113920.1%28 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pelicans13c5,050$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65949849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Pelicans24c5,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.994753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+66.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans11c4,387$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.143,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Pelicans13c3,768$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.8170147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans25c3,258$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.431,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked Pelicans24c3,150$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.983050%15 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Thunder77c2,597$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.412451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Pelicans14c2,100$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29914845.9%68 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Pelicans14c2,027$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9961532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Pelicans25c2,002$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49920153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Pelicans25c1,992$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.7377745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Thunder76c1,887$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.781,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3586…eecfbacked Thunder76c1,762$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.853754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Pelicans1c1,606$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.52165.6%12 W · 204 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Pelicans25c1,600$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40027546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Pelicans25c1,600$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.9711143.2%48 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb88d…291abacked Thunder76c1,570$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.912755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa535…6bf5backed Thunder75c1,512$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3789557.9%55 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd263…e4eebacked Thunder77c1,495$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.584946.9%23 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Pelicans18c1,481$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.5885347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pelicans24c1,470$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.911,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e68…a74dbacked Thunder76c1,420$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.741478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick66cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5755…d1babacked Thunder77c1,395$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.81560%3 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick78cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5d…7e9ebacked Thunder76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.79837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick65cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Pelicans23c1,314$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.3119642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf2d…673fbacked Thunder76c1,184$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.161060%6 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans1c1,100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.91,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Pelicans26c1,080$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.221649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Pelicans21c1,064$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.0372341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Pelicans12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.051,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c3…4d61backed Thunder76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2405347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94e5…6cfebacked Thunder77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2304456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Thunder76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24012154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Thunder74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26016242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pelicans26c1,000$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.61,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d92…4b39backed Thunder76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2409035.6%32 W · 58 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Pelicans24c981.96$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.4811150.5%56 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+41.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Pelicans23c968.44$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.0275347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Pelicans15c715.39$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.317536%27 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae09…fa6dbacked Thunder75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.672360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Thunder76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8934169.5%237 W · 104 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Thunder76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8910441.3%43 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pelicans14c650.16$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.321,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4280…f363backed Thunder76c638.91$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-34.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7092…b8e9backed Pelicans25c632$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-56.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Pelicans24c623.61$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9445251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Thunder75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15023835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Thunder76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Pelicans25c499.98$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.6629148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c1…06cebacked Pelicans25c496.92$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.233125.8%8 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe433…47d1backed Pelicans25c491.29$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-50.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdefe…bdb8backed Pelicans24c488.38$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.214725.5%12 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8526…3b5dbacked Pelicans26c469.23$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1226636.4%24 W · 42 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d5b…334abacked Thunder76c460$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.42729.6%8 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-51.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9ca1…3378backed Pelicans23c450$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.51442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0041…e598backed Thunder75c444.84$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.762445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Thunder75c435$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2514560.7%88 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23b1…8e10backed Thunder73c431.9$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.618937.1%33 W · 56 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82d5…41aebacked Pelicans24c408.44$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.03922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3df…c273backed Pelicans24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid+64.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x420f…e3f4backed Thunder75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+46.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cb6…8f8bbacked Pelicans25c397.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+65.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4779…7bcabacked Pelicans25c378$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.52661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6c6…b9adbacked Thunder74c377.79$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.231250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Thunder75c377.71$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.651,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Pelicans24c375$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.917244.2%76 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdab…1f2fbacked Thunder77c341.27$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.49366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2338…ae11backed Pelicans27c333.33$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3093…41b4backed Pelicans27c333.33$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Thunder76c326.9$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.918666.1%123 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd206…8a30backed Thunder73c302.51$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.633066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16d6…c556backed Pelicans7c293.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.643145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e17…779abacked Thunder75c290.01$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.52979.3%23 W · 6 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick64cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd1b…75d8backed Thunder75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.677653.9%41 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4951…ec9bbacked Thunder75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.675658.9%33 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Pelicans17c232.36$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9540448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfc5…817ebacked Thunder75c206.21$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.34763.8%30 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde71…070ebacked Thunder75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+56.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x177e…a572backed Thunder77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464969.4%34 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x620e…0775backed Thunder75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Thunder74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5226547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13d0…e3dcbacked Thunder75c199$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.753745.9%17 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Thunder75c195.01$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4985542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Pelicans23c192.8$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3415056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Thunder74c185.05$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1111662.9%73 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Pelicans16c178.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.939843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02c1…46a6backed Pelicans25c166.4$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.62360.9%14 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x906e…99b5backed Pelicans25c155.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b5…4b18backed Thunder74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+178.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x56f8…5111backed Pelicans26c150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3930%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2088…9c55backed Thunder76c144.74$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.746167.2%41 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd16…201bbacked Pelicans25c140$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93d2…49cebacked Thunder75c140$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+108.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.