TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Rockets, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$285,479
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$279,456

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,479 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 500 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed Kings58c39,043$22,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,213.5515056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Rockets60c24,434$14,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,591.8830443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Rockets13c22,047$2,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,927.925911.9%7 W · 52 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-50.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21ed…16f3backed Rockets50c16,806$8,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,403.142475%18 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Kings51c12,175$6,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,905.9722832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b46…db60backed Rockets51c11,671$5,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,967.483748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa38…ffb3backed Rockets18c10,706$1,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,974.2110925.7%28 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa715…15e2backed Rockets0c10,300$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443619.4%7 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Kings49c10,259$5,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,237.5865642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c12…dd7dbacked Rockets0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+53.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Kings60c9,403$5,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,766.9370147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Kings42c8,801$3,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,071.1419350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings36c7,288$2,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,672.183,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Rockets56c7,188$4,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,031.8910945.9%50 W · 59 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Kings48c6,119$2,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,177.5933752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Rockets15c5,866$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.7411459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dc7…3a04backed Rockets20c5,511$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.218229.3%24 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Kings51c5,000$2,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,46837954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Kings48c3,921$1,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,041.8172341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Rockets54c3,027$1,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.2219642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Rockets48c3,000$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4301,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.991,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Kings50c2,453$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.5672241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Kings49c2,338$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.7229043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94e5…6cfebacked Rockets44c2,269$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.674456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa535…6bf5backed Rockets49c2,043$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.019557.9%55 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Rockets49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007346.6%34 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Rockets50c2,000$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.7712154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f8…a7e8backed Rockets51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0201947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80b2…1e1cbacked Rockets50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x217b…0dc0backed Kings51c1,958$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.43944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ed7…537abacked Rockets52c1,911$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001540%6 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-37.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2cd3…9d0abacked Rockets37c1,892$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Rockets53c1,596$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.9726547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rockets37c1,502$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.051,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Kings50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7507549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Rockets50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7508442.9%36 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab4…aaffbacked Rockets58c1,463$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.941266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d6e…784ebacked Kings73c1,368$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.34728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-58.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed Rockets48c1,367$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6504847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Rockets49c1,357$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6601,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Rockets45c1,334$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.3625939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad28…90d7backed Rockets54c1,195$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6502857.1%16 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f09…0478backed Kings52c1,154$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.921266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+40.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcdf8…1fa4backed Rockets48c1,064$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.073060%18 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7961…2da2backed Rockets49c1,021$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.22326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.9wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-35.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Rockets55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55016242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b2…66d8backed Rockets57c894.09$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.425660.7%34 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Kings51c882.5$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5853134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Rockets48c860.23$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.9175347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Rockets49c714.29$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35056348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Kings53c678$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.6677745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ec1…f74ebacked Kings52c666$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Rockets48c659$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.3234644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Kings52c651.68$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8127546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e49…2d2dbacked Rockets50c623$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.51050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd8…eb7bbacked Kings49c622.94$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.72161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a2a…9146backed Rockets49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.84348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Rockets5c618.3$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.361,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Rockets49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2941,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Kings48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.525947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b63…4cf5backed Kings50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Rockets49c561.6$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.1129148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8df2…97a5backed Rockets19c546.2$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.715438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x529f…1cfabacked Rockets57c544.19$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.929052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9387…ce77backed Rockets54c499.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.991060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd263…e4eebacked Rockets52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504946.9%23 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Rockets33c476.37$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9561532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Rockets3c475$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122165.6%12 W · 204 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8580…4612backed Rockets21c465.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005617.9%10 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Kings48c463.17$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.3845251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Kings49c460.84$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.0316553.9%89 W · 76 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fdc…42f9backed Rockets62c456.73$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.874858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Rockets50c440$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.315234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9997…af3bbacked Rockets53c419.38$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.278259.8%49 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Kings49c409.8$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20949849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Rockets48c400.42$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.210462.5%65 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6691…3acebacked Kings49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2044100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28e2…516cbacked Rockets50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf86…601fbacked Rockets38c394.32$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15050144.7%224 W · 277 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Rockets16c381.03$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6038942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Rockets51c335.97$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.7211143.2%48 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings55c333.33$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5b4…770dbacked Rockets14c333.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.673030%9 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Kings52c333$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8420245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Rockets55c332.98$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.1316345.4%74 W · 89 L-14.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xef3b…5cefbacked Rockets46c300.84$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.383450%17 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Kings50c300.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.3937627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ef8…eff3backed Kings52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Rockets51c300$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.44656.5%26 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Rockets49c297.71$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.8838132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f1d…32f3backed Rockets48c281.25$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Rockets47c280$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.648137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fd2…5e2abacked Rockets55c274.97$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504727.7%13 W · 34 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Rockets49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.56238.7%24 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Rockets29c244.04$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7016440.9%67 W · 97 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x201c…c302backed Kings47c227.13$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.522227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-51.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6459…c926backed Rockets48c220$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.66634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d1…6f56backed Kings58c205.5$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2711235.7%40 W · 72 L-9.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Kings47c204.99$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.0585542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.