NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. 76ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a69c97e6b2ca3ce73b0e6f60ce5e222fc570b0b48f03ebd39fdc02e0b9f198e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof Magic, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $439,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $451,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $439,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 826 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked 76ers | 42c | 49,939$21,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,799.67 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Magic | 1c | 41,755$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.55 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f08…463bbacked Magic | 40c | 12,587$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Magic | 62c | 10,767$6,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,683.21 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 25c | 9,241$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.84 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Magic | 52c | 8,818$4,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,561.48 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…824abacked Magic | 62c | 7,930$4,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,928.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Magic | 2c | 7,848$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.53 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Magic | 26c | 7,705$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.01 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Magic | 52c | 6,298$3,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,282.44 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Magic | 58c | 6,250$3,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,624.98 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfca6…53e2backed Magic | 62c | 5,610$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked 76ers | 40c | 5,595$2,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,357.04 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Magic | 59c | 5,301$3,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,127.26 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…d0acbacked Magic | 59c | 5,085$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed 76ers | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.96 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Magic | 18c | 4,657$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.49 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed 76ers | 58c | 3,763$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.43 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 6c | 3,292$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.76 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Magic | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked 76ers | 44c | 2,809$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.07 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Magic | 56c | 2,554$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.11 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Magic | 43c | 2,195$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.77 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Magic | 8c | 2,165$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.62 | 238 | 33.2%79 W · 159 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…5014backed Magic | 59c | 2,000$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.99 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Magic | 60c | 2,000$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.29 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed 76ers | 37c | 1,984$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.44 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Magic | 58c | 1,864$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.2 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c4…fa85backed Magic | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed 76ers | 45c | 1,691$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.3 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…e082backed Magic | 2c | 1,668$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…d704backed 76ers | 42c | 1,548$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0f…da3abacked Magic | 62c | 1,467$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked 76ers | 39c | 1,449$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.31 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Magic | 29c | 1,432$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.52 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed 76ers | 46c | 1,411$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.58 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Magic | 44c | 1,400$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…d647backed Magic | 52c | 1,387$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.15 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Magic | 61c | 1,353$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.8 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Magic | 2c | 1,317$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed 76ers | 40c | 1,307$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.21 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6f…d9d4backed Magic | 58c | 1,271$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.16 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b3…fd35backed Magic | 60c | 1,236$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…7bcabacked 76ers | 39c | 1,236$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.92 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…3ab2backed Magic | 60c | 1,204$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.32 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…f0e7backed Magic | 58c | 1,198$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…6bd1backed 76ers | 65c | 1,168$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.03 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed 76ers | 40c | 1,153$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.97 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7037…7ba4backed Magic | 59c | 1,150$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…42f9backed Magic | 61c | 1,148$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.1 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x105e…4741backed Magic | 36c | 1,116$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.68 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Magic | 58c | 1,110$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.26 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed 76ers | 45c | 1,103$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.59 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d52…94c4backed 76ers | 43c | 1,055$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.36 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Magic | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce54…90bcbacked Magic | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Magic | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Magic | 49c | 1,000$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Magic | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40dc…563dbacked 76ers | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Magic | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75da…4688backed Magic | 35c | 1,000$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b9…6a5ebacked Magic | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed 76ers | 38c | 999.96$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.97 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Magic | 59c | 885.33$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…58f6backed 76ers | 41c | 878.05$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +183.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Magic | 58c | 865.88$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.11 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Magic | 60c | 853.92$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.5 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Magic | 30c | 844.47$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.34 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Magic | 60c | 838.59$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed 76ers | 42c | 833.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.33 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b8…3bfcbacked Magic | 33c | 826.4$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.4 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Magic | 60c | 800$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked 76ers | 35c | 776.65$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.22 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed 76ers | 41c | 748.24$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.46 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…5c67backed Magic | 59c | 644.07$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c8…5c16backed Magic | 9c | 631.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed 76ers | 39c | 583.96$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.96 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf6…63a7backed Magic | 60c | 561.88$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Magic | 62c | 526$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.86 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Magic | 60c | 502$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Magic | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…58f0backed 76ers | 40c | 499.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2450…947ebacked Magic | 60c | 493.21$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6f…29bfbacked Magic | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe456…ad4fbacked Magic | 63c | 477.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Magic | 59c | 464.56$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.95 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Magic | 45c | 444.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Magic | 16c | 444.01$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Magic | 33c | 435.67$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.77 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ceb…0c87backed Magic | 35c | 423.85$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.35 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2b13backed Magic | 60c | 421.37$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.82 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…2cbfbacked 76ers | 41c | 421.22$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.52 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed 76ers | 59c | 419.25$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc223…1cbfbacked Magic | 59c | 408.17$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.82 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7615…025ebacked Magic | 60c | 406.52$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcabf…c2d7backed Magic | 60c | 405$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…cf42backed 76ers | 41c | 404.88$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e17…779abacked Magic | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5361…fac8backed Magic | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.