Champions League · resolved market
Will Real Madrid beat AC Milan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd075edd935b6a0ad5b6111ae4d185e58912f93d42bfe8f64ef551e7b445e78e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 31c | 7,315$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,012.18 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 71c | 5,406$3,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,828.33 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.91 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 56c | 2,357$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.22 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 68c | 2,337$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.29 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…fa9bbacked Yes | 70c | 1,502$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb298…1b74backed Yes | 69c | 1,481$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 69c | 1,450$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 65c | 1,145$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…c054backed Yes | 68c | 1,070$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 31c | 994.84$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.44 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 32c | 975.06$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.04 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 2c | 920.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed No | 30c | 862.55$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.78 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.48per pick | 41cpaid | +128.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1358…1af4backed No | 30c | 800$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.26 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…1134backed Yes | 68c | 799.98$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbf…5b73backed No | 32c | 798.53$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 63c | 759.63$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.91 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed No | 36c | 710.08$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.54 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…a62cbacked Yes | 40c | 656$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed No | 56c | 617.7$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.79 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 24c | 605.66$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a6…9879backed Yes | 70c | 542.24$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 38c | 427.44$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.84 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…2304backed Yes | 70c | 398.57$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…7056backed No | 32c | 388.13$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eff…5759backed Yes | 69c | 376.75$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…2b62backed Yes | 37c | 299.29$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44af…c7ddbacked Yes | 69c | 291.26$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.97 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…bed5backed Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 53c | 269$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.4 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 40c | 252.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859b…f48bbacked Yes | 69c | 246.38$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 27c | 222$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.06 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe754…760bbacked Yes | 68c | 185.87$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eba…217ebacked Yes | 32c | 184$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…54e6backed Yes | 55c | 182.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 31c | 157.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3d…3533backed Yes | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2742…d04bbacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa29b…a0b8backed Yes | 70c | 144.13$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…daacbacked Yes | 69c | 143.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7adc…7603backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f77…5ab3backed No | 32c | 134.38$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…7746backed Yes | 71c | 121.27$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0453…ab31backed Yes | 69c | 117.22$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1673…e40dbacked Yes | 70c | 114.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…0eeabacked Yes | 67c | 104.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…1d0cbacked Yes | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…ef44backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.53 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 68c | 99.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2263…ac78backed Yes | 69c | 98.87$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c1…5b99backed Yes | 70c | 96.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4516…2e1fbacked Yes | 70c | 95.9$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 13c | 95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…ff5dbacked Yes | 69c | 88.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…1815backed Yes | 41c | 82.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e40…e7f1backed Yes | 69c | 80.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -10.3wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 67c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…f7b2backed No | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 69c | 75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc586…35d7backed Yes | 68c | 73.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…2b37backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…7930backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ab…0c7fbacked Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…a1e0backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bff…15a7backed Yes | 38c | 66.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…532fbacked Yes | 44c | 66.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +62%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1992…4e04backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…27c6backed Yes | 69c | 60.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +429.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa760…e888backed Yes | 70c | 54.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb4…9c38backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b12…30d8backed Yes | 59c | 52.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -7.5wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 41c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…a058backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…0039backed Yes | 44c | 45.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac99…0b0fbacked Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe11…f088backed Yes | 64c | 42.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e4…2c05backed Yes | 69c | 37.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…8bf5backed Yes | 54c | 36.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x028f…c9cbbacked Yes | 69c | 34.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad4…20d9backed No | 31c | 32.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…ec7ebacked Yes | 69c | 31.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a2…cd8abacked Yes | 69c | 29.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e21…4d75backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5f…12c5backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…a729backed Yes | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…290ebacked Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50a…b40bbacked Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d33…1d5dbacked Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf42…6dd9backed Yes | 68c | 18.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.2wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x102b…a9c8backed Yes | 70c | 17.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid beat AC Milan?this page
- Will AC Milan beat Real Madrid?Yes won
- Will the match between Real Madrid and AC Milan end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.