MLB · resolved market
ALDS: Tigers vs. Guardians Game 3
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38f78b1302656488d0bc71b28068706dad5fa1b0b21005b364afad143489b96a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Tigers, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Tigers | 49c | 9,938$4,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,072.11 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Guardians | 1c | 5,464$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d2…cfb1backed Guardians | 52c | 5,014$2,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,607.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Guardians | 48c | 3,709$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.32 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2f…746cbacked Tigers | 52c | 2,783$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8352…d51abacked Guardians | 50c | 2,683$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.83 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f0…1af3backed Guardians | 50c | 2,504$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e785backed Guardians | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Guardians | 51c | 2,064$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.48 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7a…3ef4backed Tigers | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Tigers | 49c | 1,777$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked Tigers | 55c | 1,667$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Guardians | 45c | 1,581$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.43 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Guardians | 8c | 1,503$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.98 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Guardians | 49c | 1,469$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Tigers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Guardians | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Tigers | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.6wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Guardians | 49c | 949.31$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.76 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed Guardians | 49c | 803.98$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Tigers | 51c | 790.9$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.03 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Tigers | 49c | 745.87$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x458d…694cbacked Tigers | 50c | 600.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c53…30cdbacked Guardians | 49c | 599.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Guardians | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200a…d498backed Tigers | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Guardians | 48c | 499.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Guardians | 50c | 463.87$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.94 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Tigers | 49c | 461.65$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.65 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…d7fcbacked Tigers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Tigers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Guardians | 33c | 353.15$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Tigers | 48c | 333$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.16 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03d4…6149backed Tigers | 51c | 306.96$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa244…97ecbacked Guardians | 52c | 306.92$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7946…1c01backed Guardians | 50c | 302.82$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x892c…1f9fbacked Guardians | 52c | 282.65$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Tigers | 74c | 281.04$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f8…fa32backed Tigers | 51c | 264.71$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…4c33backed Guardians | 52c | 264.62$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…1474backed Tigers | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x563f…ce64backed Guardians | 52c | 235.16$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…537abacked Tigers | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Guardians | 26c | 207$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Guardians | 50c | 206.6$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.25 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Tigers | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…4680backed Tigers | 52c | 202.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Guardians | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Tigers | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…5bbabacked Guardians | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8654…0962backed Tigers | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…1e3dbacked Tigers | 50c | 159.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Guardians | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Tigers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…26c4backed Guardians | 50c | 98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…8261backed Tigers | 52c | 91.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…6ffabacked Guardians | 51c | 82.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…17edbacked Guardians | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Tigers | 52c | 64.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…ec7ebacked Tigers | 52c | 61.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…422abacked Tigers | 49c | 59.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…eccabacked Guardians | 50c | 58.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Tigers | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c18…fdc1backed Tigers | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Guardians | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Tigers | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…797fbacked Tigers | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…9cf9backed Tigers | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fea8backed Tigers | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Guardians | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…0a3dbacked Guardians | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…c049backed Guardians | 50c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Guardians | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…cfaebacked Guardians | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…4de9backed Guardians | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988f…0bc3backed Tigers | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6064…9f1bbacked Guardians | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b57…38f0backed Guardians | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bfbfbacked Guardians | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb885…e42ebacked Tigers | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa464…6fbfbacked Tigers | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab52…8532backed Guardians | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae15…25ebbacked Tigers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4139…25c6backed Guardians | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc0…b039backed Tigers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd89…4e1abacked Guardians | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…9ce4backed Tigers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7830…95aabacked Tigers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb467…a23fbacked Guardians | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a3…e68fbacked Guardians | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27d…5e62backed Tigers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ca…7cb9backed Guardians | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…c92bbacked Guardians | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf721…ae7cbacked Tigers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b5…3539backed Tigers | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8f…3481backed Tigers | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…f93dbacked Guardians | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d7…f190backed Tigers | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6247…bcfdbacked Tigers | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.