TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sabres vs. Canadiens

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canadiensof Sabres, Canadiens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$244,052
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$315,989

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,052 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee00…cea1backed Sabres18c42,721$7,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,794.1244848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Sabres18c21,886$3,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,972.4514949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Sabres18c15,700$2,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,788.4731334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Sabres40c10,404$4,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,153.435545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb95…3293backed Sabres56c5,546$3,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,11910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Sabres18c4,569$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.255633.9%19 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf2d…ac75backed Canadiens47c4,256$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Sabres1c4,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Canadiens44c3,909$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,169.469459.6%56 W · 38 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Sabres32c3,703$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.5592848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d5…38bfbacked Canadiens47c3,617$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,917.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bea…cf42backed Canadiens47c3,600$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9081030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcabf…c2d7backed Sabres55c3,583$1,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9821060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbba7…2629backed Canadiens45c2,127$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.07944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+31.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a34…9ae5backed Sabres53c2,020$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.61633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d0f…118fbacked Canadiens47c2,020$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Canadiens45c1,978$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.381,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a12…4006backed Sabres57c1,844$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Sabres54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.967549.3%37 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Canadiens45c1,500$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.961776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.2wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+44.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcbb2…6accbacked Sabres53c1,100$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.01742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82d8…eaf1backed Canadiens47c1,100$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78ec…9b45backed Sabres54c1,088$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.52742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1b2…94f2backed Canadiens46c1,088$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.52862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9320…f7d7backed Canadiens46c1,009$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.861540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdb4…0081backed Sabres53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Sabres1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106642.4%28 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Sabres55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb5…b6b6backed Canadiens47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Canadiens45c999.99$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.991,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Canadiens44c999.95$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.973116.1%5 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-65.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e4d…07cbbacked Canadiens46c966.84$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.091471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+38.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7a7…505bbacked Sabres54c966.84$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.091435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.22per pick57cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Sabres55c768.84$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.073148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cb5…98f8backed Canadiens45c750$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d54…2386backed Sabres55c727.27$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Canadiens64c575.82$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.3391334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26a4…084ebacked Canadiens45c560$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+42.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc971…d84abacked Canadiens46c559.52$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Sabres2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+156.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8df…32b4backed Sabres14c499.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Sabres54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Canadiens46c457.35$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.5454349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Canadiens44c438.98$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.2511445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf61b…f73ebacked Canadiens46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.784551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c57…fbbcbacked Canadiens47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Canadiens45c423.09$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.6423144.6%103 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76c9…9eb3backed Canadiens45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc57d…d9a4backed Canadiens46c381.78$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.161764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1299…356ebacked Sabres54c381.78$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.161060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+41.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9de8…e2a4backed Sabres55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b6…9b04backed Sabres55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe973…7005backed Sabres53c299.93$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.44146.3%19 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sabres54c297.31$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.551,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed Sabres10c296.88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.982748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e61…57d2backed Sabres55c266$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c39…f82dbacked Sabres55c261.82$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Canadiens45c254.99$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.2572444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Sabres54c250$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13522246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ad0…9b56backed Canadiens46c241.3$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25f9…451fbacked Sabres55c236.36$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Sabres17c235.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407317.8%13 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90d2…9174backed Canadiens46c232.61$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.61250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98f1…75a9backed Sabres56c231.56$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2f…dc34backed Canadiens46c228.26$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.262100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68ff…ebc4backed Sabres55c228.18$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Canadiens46c226$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.049750.5%49 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed43…8bc8backed Sabres56c219.57$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.96425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x818b…0ac3backed Canadiens46c219.57$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabd…92dcbacked Canadiens46c219.57$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7245…49ecbacked Canadiens46c219.57$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.57250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d92…7795backed Canadiens46c219.57$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.573100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc31d…a0dcbacked Canadiens46c219.57$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.57250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf71b…dbc0backed Sabres55c219.47$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefb5…a489backed Sabres55c219.45$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x512c…311cbacked Sabres55c219.45$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1f…5ba4backed Sabres55c219.45$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58a9…bac0backed Sabres56c218.57$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93cc…f41cbacked Canadiens46c218.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051e…869abacked Canadiens46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.39955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Canadiens46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.399554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fad…f19abacked Sabres55c215.16$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20a8…35d2backed Canadiens47c215.16$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8932…55bcbacked Canadiens47c214.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e87…57b7backed Sabres55c214.55$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d95…e3eebacked Canadiens47c214.4$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02e0…eddebacked Sabres54c214.26$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f82…fa99backed Sabres55c212.73$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11730%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf488…6f2bbacked Sabres55c210$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Sabres53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d5b…334abacked Sabres53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Canadiens45c199.98$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9913953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Canadiens44c199.94$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9629847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Sabres56c196.43$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104158.5%24 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15af…e753backed Sabres55c190$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec4f…70cdbacked Sabres55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57e0…8519backed Sabres55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad2…44c3backed Sabres55c180.24$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Sabres7c163.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1133145%149 W · 182 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0360…7be1backed Sabres52c154.06$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.118139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.