NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d69fcf6caf07cc0574f95e902457e453eafd879779638c9991fd33d5d8ab79c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $243,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $307,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Wizards | 0c | 48,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 11c | 22,368$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.04 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…caf5backed Raptors | 70c | 7,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Wizards | 13c | 5,635$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.23 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Wizards | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d8…22a9backed Wizards | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Wizards | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Wizards | 24c | 4,828$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.94 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Wizards | 30c | 4,018$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.54 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards | 11c | 3,866$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.9 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 24c | 3,723$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.38 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Wizards | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Raptors | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Wizards | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Raptors | 71c | 3,000$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.01 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Wizards | 32c | 2,939$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.29 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Wizards | 31c | 2,836$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.18 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…9d39backed Raptors | 70c | 2,766$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.61 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Wizards | 33c | 2,516$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.22 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Raptors | 69c | 2,271$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.62 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Raptors | 70c | 2,203$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.84 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…4c6bbacked Raptors | 69c | 2,092$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…cc0dbacked Wizards | 32c | 2,090$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…8577backed Wizards | 33c | 2,040$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3948…b9b6backed Raptors | 68c | 2,040$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01f8…ba26backed Wizards | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Wizards | 31c | 1,826$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.72 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Raptors | 67c | 1,723$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.64 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Raptors | 69c | 1,526$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.14 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Wizards | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wizards | 31c | 1,361$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.03 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Raptors | 68c | 1,200$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…f3aebacked Raptors | 68c | 1,176$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x279e…3f3abacked Wizards | 33c | 1,176$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wizards | 11c | 1,071$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.43 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1adc…c60dbacked Wizards | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb00…528abacked Raptors | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Wizards | 27c | 914.94$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.03 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Raptors | 72c | 907.41$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.07 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Wizards | 32c | 782.38$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.36 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca71…6864backed Raptors | 69c | 768.78$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.85 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Wizards | 10c | 676.19$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.14 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Raptors | 68c | 596.44$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.68 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…7cd2backed Raptors | 69c | 578.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.16 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Wizards | 30c | 505$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.74 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wizards | 30c | 501.94$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.58 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Raptors | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Wizards | 32c | 434$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.88 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Wizards | 32c | 423$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.36 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…4cd5backed Wizards | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Wizards | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Raptors | 71c | 399.98$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Raptors | 73c | 399.98$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c5…90dfbacked Raptors | 67c | 397$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.01 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Raptors | 68c | 377.02$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.65 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Wizards | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Wizards | 30c | 330.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Wizards | 33c | 303.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e0…5fd9backed Wizards | 33c | 303.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Wizards | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Raptors | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d1…72b5backed Raptors | 73c | 269.86$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Wizards | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Wizards | 31c | 201.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…7ff3backed Raptors | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Raptors | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fec…728ebacked Raptors | 72c | 199.97$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ad…dff0backed Raptors | 68c | 188.34$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…9be3backed Wizards | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…ec88backed Raptors | 68c | 172.35$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.15 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c4…ae60backed Wizards | 33c | 163.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 56cpaid | -53%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1060…a32dbacked Wizards | 33c | 160.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Wizards | 32c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Wizards | 31c | 154.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7db…e78fbacked Wizards | 33c | 154.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…3113backed Raptors | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 233 | 59.7%139 W · 94 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Wizards | 22c | 125.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Raptors | 73c | 116.44$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Wizards | 31c | 115.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…1279backed Wizards | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Raptors | 71c | 111.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Raptors | 68c | 104.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4d…326cbacked Raptors | 68c | 102$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa0…5590backed Wizards | 33c | 102$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Raptors | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Wizards | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe095…9067backed Raptors | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f36…2305backed Raptors | 77c | 97.46$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 103 | 69.9%72 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a97…1e93backed Raptors | 68c | 95.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Raptors | 72c | 95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…c613backed Wizards | 33c | 94.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…e87fbacked Wizards | 29c | 91.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…b387backed Wizards | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Wizards | 13c | 86.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac0…9784backed Raptors | 68c | 80.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f62…0ac2backed Wizards | 33c | 80.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Wizards | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 345 | 51.3%177 W · 168 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04d…5db7backed Raptors | 68c | 78.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…92efbacked Raptors | 68c | 77.6$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9268…6d02backed Raptors | 68c | 76.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.