MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3439f8e371ab8e41ee981063d357a0d37cd269124ca85b7382f6265dfdc56ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Mets, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $423,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $435,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $423,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 481 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Reds | 49c | 224,452$109,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,981.31 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mets | 51c | 76,519$39,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,494.31 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Mets | 51c | 55,000$28,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,949.99 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mets | 51c | 26,266$13,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,933.19 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Mets | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Mets | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Reds | 49c | 16,728$8,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,196.57 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Reds | 48c | 15,000$7,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,194.08 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Mets | 51c | 14,297$7,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,005.45 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed Reds | 24c | 12,991$3,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,128.81 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Mets | 51c | 11,215$5,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,495.35 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mets | 51c | 10,948$5,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,364.52 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Reds | 48c | 10,272$4,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,930.53 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Mets | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mets | 56c | 8,927$4,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,964.13 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Reds | 47c | 6,733$3,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,163.21 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 51c | 4,795$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.65 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 28c | 4,420$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.97 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Mets | 51c | 4,138$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.62 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Mets | 60c | 2,305$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.65 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mets | 75c | 2,285$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.31 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mets | 52c | 2,222$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.56 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 28c | 2,201$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.93 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Reds | 49c | 2,072$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.2 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Reds | 48c | 2,056$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.76 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Reds | 31c | 2,013$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.53 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mets | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f4…377cbacked Reds | 46c | 1,900$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets | 72c | 1,683$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.67 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Reds | 49c | 1,633$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.92 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Mets | 51c | 1,422$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.57 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Mets | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mets | 50c | 1,380$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.85 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Mets | 65c | 1,285$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.7 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Reds | 33c | 1,254$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.6 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mets | 52c | 1,099$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.01 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mets | 52c | 1,086$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.35 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mets | 64c | 1,015$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.29 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Mets | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Mets | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…118cbacked Mets | 54c | 963$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…f599backed Mets | 54c | 937$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mets | 53c | 925$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.22 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Reds | 47c | 805.13$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mets | 52c | 769$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.12 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…6e7abacked Reds | 41c | 737.41$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.84 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Mets | 50c | 723$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.5 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Mets | 71c | 704.3$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.3 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Mets | 79c | 658.31$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.25 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Reds | 47c | 608.35$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.92 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Mets | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Mets | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3499…2858backed Mets | 76c | 585.83$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed Mets | 51c | 579.55$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.98 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…60dabacked Mets | 79c | 575.38$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Reds | 28c | 509.55$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.79 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Mets | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Reds | 28c | 483.29$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.03 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Mets | 74c | 479.64$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.71 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Mets | 76c | 468.16$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.56 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Reds | 19c | 449.15$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.57 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e3…5e25backed Mets | 52c | 443.69$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.97 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x870b…2181backed Reds | 49c | 443.63$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Reds | 48c | 402$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.96 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Reds | 23c | 395.63$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.74 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Reds | 29c | 391.55$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.09 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab9…4669backed Reds | 50c | 376.34$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.17 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…4768backed Mets | 51c | 376.29$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.38 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…56ecbacked Mets | 74c | 352.7$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.7 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Reds | 26c | 332.36$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…9e8dbacked Mets | 51c | 301.96$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Reds | 36c | 260$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.93 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd64b…483cbacked Reds | 50c | 254.54$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…df62backed Mets | 51c | 254.51$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.71 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Mets | 57c | 216.06$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.91 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mets | 54c | 207.41$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.41 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Reds | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…4efabacked Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…e142backed Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…ebcfbacked Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…b9eabacked Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…565dbacked Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…78e3backed Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac5…3536backed Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…6f65backed Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x247e…3a07backed Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e2…5daebacked Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5b…02fabacked Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…3068backed Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8f…963ebacked Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…e84cbacked Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cca…6c96backed Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed1…d738backed Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a6…835abacked Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…55e1backed Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…f8bdbacked Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…23e4backed Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b1…9335backed Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mets vs. Redsthis page
- Mets vs. Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Mets (-1.5)Reds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.