NFL · resolved market
Broncos vs. Chargers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x575768d67dda782f6045d9dc31c5c5f97927758b5cba938fc1142fff50553334
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chargersof Broncos, Chargers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $701,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $708,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $701,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 615 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e80…59e8backed Broncos | 44c | 79,540$34,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,997.41 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Broncos | 10c | 41,174$4,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,089.55 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Chargers | 55c | 33,995$18,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,317.13 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Chargers | 56c | 29,595$16,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,021.8 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…78ddbacked Broncos | 41c | 29,398$12,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,053.24 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Broncos | 79c | 27,819$21,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,918.88 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Chargers | 57c | 20,087$11,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,560.76 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Chargers | 56c | 18,627$10,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,164.44 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd54a…47b8backed Chargers | 55c | 17,880$9,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,999.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ee…68f3backed Chargers | 59c | 15,085$8,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,184.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4741…6cf0backed Chargers | 58c | 10,897$6,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,576.63 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Broncos | 42c | 10,691$4,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,490.31 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Broncos | 43c | 10,342$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Chargers | 57c | 9,734$5,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,204.88 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Chargers | 58c | 8,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.99 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Chargers | 51c | 8,000$4,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,929.99 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76f9…3c97backed Broncos | 42c | 7,667$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…b7a4backed Chargers | 58c | 7,445$4,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,126.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf70e…8759backed Broncos | 42c | 7,140$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…d840backed Broncos | 43c | 6,974$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…3d0cbacked Broncos | 42c | 6,719$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…8027backed Broncos | 79c | 6,440$5,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,087.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Broncos | 1c | 6,224$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8eb…c973backed Broncos | 42c | 5,952$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Chargers | 58c | 5,500$3,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.98 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6b…1262backed Chargers | 57c | 5,330$3,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.82 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Broncos | 79c | 5,324$4,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,198.62 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Broncos | 51c | 5,301$2,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725.61 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Broncos | 42c | 5,173$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.66 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Chargers | 58c | 5,121$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.63 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…ad02backed Chargers | 59c | 5,093$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.16 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc68a…0e4abacked Chargers | 59c | 5,085$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…cb78backed Broncos | 38c | 4,906$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.6 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Chargers | 68c | 4,899$3,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.2 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Broncos | 44c | 4,593$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Broncos | 44c | 4,355$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Broncos | 67c | 4,252$2,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,838.59 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Broncos | 41c | 4,210$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.3 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Chargers | 77c | 3,695$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f9…9f73backed Chargers | 59c | 3,554$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Broncos | 80c | 3,500$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19db…e24cbacked Chargers | 58c | 3,447$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a04…2375backed Chargers | 58c | 3,447$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Broncos | 28c | 3,394$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.6 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Chargers | 40c | 3,346$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.92 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Broncos | 70c | 3,162$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.29 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Broncos | 52c | 3,156$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.68 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Broncos | 50c | 3,096$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.87 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Chargers | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfa…a0dabacked Chargers | 38c | 3,000$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.93 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8be7backed Broncos | 41c | 2,711$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.11 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Broncos | 49c | 2,694$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.79 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed Chargers | 30c | 2,688$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.58 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Chargers | 75c | 2,665$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.26 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Chargers | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Broncos | 6c | 2,500$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.57 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Broncos | 36c | 2,480$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.11 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Chargers | 58c | 2,420$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.4 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Chargers | 57c | 2,384$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.7 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…a6cebacked Chargers | 59c | 2,255$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.58 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc88…681abacked Broncos | 43c | 2,253$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…1ad2backed Broncos | 43c | 2,222$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.45 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb296…07babacked Broncos | 42c | 2,150$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Broncos | 43c | 2,084$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Chargers | 58c | 2,069$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.97 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Chargers | 58c | 2,001$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.33 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Broncos | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…8278backed Broncos | 47c | 2,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Chargers | 71c | 1,913$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.59 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Chargers | 70c | 1,857$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.14 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d6…2f2abacked Chargers | 57c | 1,844$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a31…5dd9backed Broncos | 42c | 1,843$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Broncos | 69c | 1,828$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.32 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Chargers | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Chargers | 31c | 1,621$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.65 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Broncos | 4c | 1,598$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Broncos | 50c | 1,584$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.38 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Broncos | 63c | 1,555$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.64 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…b624backed Broncos | 47c | 1,506$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Broncos | 41c | 1,450$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.57 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…74bbbacked Broncos | 18c | 1,325$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.3 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Chargers | 59c | 1,271$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.19 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Chargers | 58c | 1,250$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Broncos | 18c | 1,208$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.69 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…0df5backed Broncos | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Broncos | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 162 | 75.3%122 W · 40 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Broncos | 63c | 1,138$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.27 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Broncos | 43c | 1,100$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…e299backed Chargers | 59c | 1,077$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4f…79fbbacked Broncos | 43c | 1,076$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Broncos | 36c | 1,069$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Broncos | 46c | 1,013$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.75 | 254 | 53.9%137 W · 117 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Chargers | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.07 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Broncos | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Broncos | 43c | 1,000$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.78 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Broncos | 44c | 977.27$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Broncos | 30c | 958.46$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.99 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Broncos | 64c | 902$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.2 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Chargers | 56c | 888.57$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.97 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c69…76ccbacked Chargers | 26c | 863.84$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.42 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.