MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55ea26a50839eab3dad25d4693195be38a7ead42450a2aea887beeb80a6c4730
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Cubs, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yankees | 61c | 20,000$12,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,799.98 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cubs | 39c | 11,820$4,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,609.64 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…25c2backed Cubs | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Cubs | 39c | 6,359$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Yankees | 61c | 3,600$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Cubs | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.98 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cubs | 16c | 2,504$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Cubs | 38c | 2,419$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.06 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Yankees | 62c | 2,366$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.08 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yankees | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yankees | 62c | 1,709$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.31 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Cubs | 40c | 1,610$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees | 60c | 1,479$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.66 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cubs | 2c | 1,366$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 27c | 1,208$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.42 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3595…834dbacked Cubs | 38c | 1,189$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e4…9116backed Yankees | 62c | 1,182$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Yankees | 69c | 1,128$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.68 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…d3e9backed Yankees | 62c | 1,118$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…21a2backed Cubs | 38c | 1,111$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yankees | 61c | 1,018$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.07 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Cubs | 37c | 958.72$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.73 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…540fbacked Cubs | 40c | 837.7$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Cubs | 5c | 806.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Cubs | 40c | 778.88$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.55 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Cubs | 2c | 770.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Cubs | 40c | 688.94$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Cubs | 38c | 686.22$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.97 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…2216backed Cubs | 39c | 660$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Yankees | 62c | 659.95$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.78 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Yankees | 63c | 632.06$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.86 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Yankees | 63c | 614.46$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.35 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Cubs | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Cubs | 40c | 500.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Cubs | 40c | 447.13$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Yankees | 62c | 414.25$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.42 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 61c | 411.61$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.73 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Yankees | 63c | 396$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Cubs | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Cubs | 39c | 376.41$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.8 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…095cbacked Yankees | 62c | 361.03$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.19 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cubs | 36c | 340.66$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.07 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e41…364bbacked Yankees | 65c | 318.38$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Yankees | 75c | 286.57$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Yankees | 62c | 265.85$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.02 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cubs | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Yankees | 62c | 251.25$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.25 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2345…1e3bbacked Cubs | 40c | 250.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Cubs | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yankees | 64c | 249.99$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yankees | 61c | 236.96$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.41 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yankees | 60c | 216.56$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.01 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe69b…6afdbacked Cubs | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cubs | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yankees | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yankees | 61c | 199.97$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…a7d4backed Yankees | 61c | 195.95$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.42 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Yankees | 61c | 185.4$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.31 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…7ad7backed Cubs | 10c | 177.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yankees | 61c | 173.18$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.54 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cubs | 38c | 169.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1578…fa2cbacked Yankees | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9241…f41cbacked Yankees | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…4c9fbacked Yankees | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…cbacbacked Cubs | 39c | 161$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Cubs | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Cubs | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cubs | 10c | 145.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Cubs | 39c | 143.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Cubs | 39c | 136.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…6e10backed Yankees | 62c | 130.65$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…df92backed Yankees | 62c | 130.65$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Cubs | 37c | 129.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Cubs | 39c | 128.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…8a1fbacked Cubs | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd08b…b248backed Cubs | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Cubs | 39c | 128.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e09…f2d9backed Cubs | 38c | 127.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cubs | 39c | 124$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x525b…3e1fbacked Cubs | 39c | 121.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…960dbacked Cubs | 39c | 118.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Cubs | 38c | 118.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Cubs | 39c | 115.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Cubs | 30c | 109.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Cubs | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cubs | 40c | 104.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Cubs | 39c | 101.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Cubs | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yankees | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cubs | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Cubs | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yankees | 64c | 94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yankees | 63c | 91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yankees | 61c | 90.14$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed Yankees | 63c | 90$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Cubs | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f10…60a7backed Yankees | 63c | 86.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…637bbacked Cubs | 38c | 86.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…92dbbacked Yankees | 62c | 84.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.