NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf121d7a69898dde5bab94f85c2dc61508c9807c05bb6c59d395e900c67d1d689
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $747,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $895,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $747,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 624 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe425…6155backed Cavaliers | 66c | 63,007$41,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,422.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a8…b139backed Pistons | 34c | 63,000$21,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,420 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pistons | 34c | 23,643$8,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,038.47 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Pistons | 25c | 22,338$5,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,557.07 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Cavaliers | 67c | 20,556$13,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,682.91 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Pistons | 33c | 19,496$6,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,475.29 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 26c | 18,095$4,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,697.44 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Cavaliers | 66c | 17,733$11,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,029.1 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked Cavaliers | 80c | 17,198$13,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,493.77 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pistons | 22c | 17,025$3,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,661.58 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Cavaliers | 61c | 15,181$9,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,993.99 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Pistons | 33c | 14,832$4,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,824.18 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…f346backed Cavaliers | 61c | 13,204$8,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,165.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…fed6backed Pistons | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Pistons | 11c | 9,551$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.56 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pistons | 20c | 8,096$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.72 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Cavaliers | 65c | 7,347$4,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,558.69 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Pistons | 30c | 6,949$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.07 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…6631backed Pistons | 0c | 5,820$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Cavaliers | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pistons | 12c | 4,508$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.91 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Cavaliers | 75c | 4,388$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.79 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Pistons | 38c | 4,266$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.24 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…b735backed Cavaliers | 72c | 4,144$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pistons | 35c | 4,108$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.57 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Pistons | 21c | 4,041$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.63 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Pistons | 33c | 4,001$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.35 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…5bfdbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 3,795$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.52 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Cavaliers | 67c | 3,433$2,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.64 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x648b…e0e5backed Cavaliers | 74c | 3,293$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.96 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Cavaliers | 63c | 3,183$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.54 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pistons | 37c | 3,105$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.72 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…992ebacked Cavaliers | 66c | 3,064$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Pistons | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Pistons | 1c | 2,864$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Pistons | 24c | 2,687$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.88 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Cavaliers | 68c | 2,626$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.36 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Pistons | 36c | 2,561$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc31e…82cdbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 2,445$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Cavaliers | 66c | 2,430$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.52 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pistons | 1c | 2,427$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Pistons | 2c | 2,401$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Cavaliers | 77c | 2,386$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.47 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Pistons | 40c | 2,266$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.41 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Pistons | 32c | 2,157$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.91 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Cavaliers | 66c | 2,015$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.15 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe20…4d3ebacked Cavaliers | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cavaliers | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…c024backed Pistons | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Pistons | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…f3a5backed Pistons | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81a…1643backed Pistons | 33c | 1,900$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Pistons | 32c | 1,808$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pistons | 36c | 1,673$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.92 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Cavaliers | 67c | 1,622$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.43 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Pistons | 37c | 1,569$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.66 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Pistons | 21c | 1,556$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.45 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Pistons | 34c | 1,539$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.82 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Cavaliers | 66c | 1,525$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.4 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb5…72d4backed Cavaliers | 73c | 1,522$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Pistons | 32c | 1,520$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.39 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Cavaliers | 66c | 1,511$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.68 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6946…7dc6backed Pistons | 32c | 1,500$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.05 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Cavaliers | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Cavaliers | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x297e…0bf9backed Pistons | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce13…a213backed Pistons | 34c | 1,499$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.66 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pistons | 34c | 1,489$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.62 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Pistons | 9c | 1,421$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.05 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Pistons | 34c | 1,385$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.9 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Cavaliers | 70c | 1,354$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.25 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Pistons | 34c | 1,198$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.46 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pistons | 37c | 1,179$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.24 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2629…417cbacked Cavaliers | 65c | 1,169$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.02 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c4…bbcdbacked Cavaliers | 68c | 1,153$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Pistons | 32c | 1,138$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.83 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…e52fbacked Cavaliers | 68c | 1,103$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.96 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Pistons | 39c | 1,010$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.74 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pistons | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Cavaliers | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Pistons | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pistons | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Pistons | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…50c7backed Pistons | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Pistons | 39c | 991.17$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.82 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Cavaliers | 67c | 977.61$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.61 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 939.92$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.97 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Cavaliers | 64c | 939.3$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.45 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Cavaliers | 72c | 916.88$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.36 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Cavaliers | 65c | 910.94$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.97 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Pistons | 24c | 899.99$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Cavaliers | 64c | 882.22$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.6 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Pistons | 33c | 857.44$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.36 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Cavaliers | 66c | 838.29$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.02 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Pistons | 33c | 800$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa6…99eabacked Cavaliers | 68c | 750$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Pistons | 33c | 749.91$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.47 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Pistons | 36c | 697.59$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Pistons | 35c | 681.15$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Cavaliers | 60c | 675$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.