NFL · resolved market
Packers vs. Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfc1f48d2ef89dd19566ee0b9d9db74b919f3416982689ed1a0b38eadafe41f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lionsof Packers, Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,076,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,098,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,076,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 694 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Packers | 30c | 147,701$44,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,514.02 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Lions | 75c | 90,920$68,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,862.75 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Packers | 32c | 82,522$26,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,116.37 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Lions | 62c | 62,818$39,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,595.78 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…59e8backed Packers | 38c | 47,615$18,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,093.6 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Packers | 35c | 36,283$12,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,817.79 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Packers | 30c | 31,496$9,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,564.95 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…1856backed Lions | 63c | 29,925$18,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,942.13 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Lions | 64c | 28,392$18,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,360.52 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e6…cc3abacked Lions | 64c | 21,278$13,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,661.23 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdea0…69e8backed Packers | 39c | 19,252$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Packers | 29c | 18,920$5,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,393.2 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2b…e0e6backed Lions | 63c | 18,792$11,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,953.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Packers | 37c | 18,601$6,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,849.06 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f09…02b6backed Lions | 73c | 12,987$9,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,556.62 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Packers | 36c | 11,565$4,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,211.18 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…a960backed Packers | 37c | 10,358$3,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,832.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Lions | 49c | 10,093$4,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,186.73 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Lions | 62c | 10,000$6,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,749.95 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…47bebacked Packers | 39c | 9,474$3,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,694.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Lions | 69c | 9,341$6,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,922.45 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Packers | 38c | 9,040$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,479.82 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Packers | 18c | 9,018$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.79 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Lions | 62c | 8,950$5,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,401 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Lions | 59c | 8,421$4,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,442.35 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Packers | 29c | 7,977$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.83 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Packers | 29c | 6,425$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.35 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Lions | 62c | 6,165$3,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.7 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Lions | 49c | 6,107$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.18 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Packers | 32c | 5,827$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.89 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Lions | 70c | 5,764$4,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.98 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Packers | 36c | 5,130$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.44 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Packers | 38c | 4,847$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.83 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…6132backed Lions | 64c | 4,629$2,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.75 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Lions | 66c | 4,599$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.43 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…feb3backed Lions | 63c | 4,553$2,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f09…0478backed Packers | 36c | 4,377$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed Lions | 48c | 4,296$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.24 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8625…90afbacked Lions | 70c | 4,210$2,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Packers | 36c | 4,199$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.64 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…8027backed Lions | 75c | 3,695$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Packers | 38c | 3,597$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.68 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…fa9bbacked Lions | 62c | 3,261$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.17 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…7e9ebacked Lions | 65c | 3,118$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.44 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb173…ed42backed Packers | 46c | 3,038$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.31 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Lions | 66c | 3,015$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…e7fcbacked Packers | 35c | 2,858$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Lions | 62c | 2,800$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.31 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Lions | 67c | 2,779$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.75 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Lions | 61c | 2,741$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.53 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4741…6cf0backed Lions | 63c | 2,729$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.67 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Packers | 37c | 2,703$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.72 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Lions | 61c | 2,566$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.62 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba8…2b00backed Lions | 46c | 2,549$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Lions | 63c | 2,381$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.95 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Lions | 64c | 2,190$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.64 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x217b…0dc0backed Packers | 37c | 2,162$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f9…9f73backed Lions | 64c | 2,128$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Lions | 74c | 2,052$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.45 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Packers | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Lions | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Packers | 48c | 1,850$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.4 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Packers | 37c | 1,843$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.52 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Packers | 21c | 1,801$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.22 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Packers | 38c | 1,767$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Packers | 37c | 1,760$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.29 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Packers | 34c | 1,758$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…58f0backed Packers | 34c | 1,650$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…d648backed Packers | 39c | 1,624$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.35 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…824abacked Lions | 63c | 1,604$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.5 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Lions | 63c | 1,588$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.8 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Lions | 61c | 1,497$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.6 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…3ab2backed Lions | 64c | 1,439$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.84 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Packers | 36c | 1,383$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb31…dc5cbacked Lions | 68c | 1,323$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.49 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Packers | 39c | 1,310$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.8 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Lions | 79c | 1,288$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.59 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…d647backed Lions | 69c | 1,282$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.06 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Packers | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…ab22backed Packers | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lions | 59c | 1,254$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.08 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…4a1fbacked Packers | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…8278backed Lions | 73c | 1,200$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd8…eb7bbacked Lions | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…382bbacked Lions | 64c | 1,192$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.31 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Lions | 62c | 1,167$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.17 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…ae23backed Lions | 53c | 1,113$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.11 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Lions | 62c | 1,110$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.19 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ea…7b9bbacked Packers | 38c | 1,110$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Packers | 1c | 1,083$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4809…9e7bbacked Packers | 33c | 1,048$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Packers | 31c | 1,033$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.85 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Lions | 63c | 1,032$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.75 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…902bbacked Lions | 64c | 1,016$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.63 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Packers | 37c | 1,001$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.64 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Packers | 43c | 1,000$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Lions | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…113dbacked Lions | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +6.0wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…4ae4backed Packers | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Packers | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.