NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45c6d5d5d14d355319591eee8c1e8a58914a25e1ff74325e01cf7fc3f400f732
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $323,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $363,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 520 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Pistons | 75c | 29,244$22,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,215.94 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea06…d81fbacked Hawks | 0c | 20,233$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Pistons | 40c | 12,609$5,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,557.86 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Hawks | 60c | 11,005$6,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,603 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hawks | 22c | 9,479$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.09 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf28…ab1fbacked Hawks | 59c | 8,393$4,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,980.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hawks | 1c | 6,517$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Pistons | 38c | 5,943$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,684.66 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Hawks | 30c | 5,254$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.32 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62dd…869abacked Hawks | 17c | 4,777$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.04 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Hawks | 59c | 4,669$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754.92 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc441…92eabacked Pistons | 42c | 4,335$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.03 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Pistons | 41c | 4,200$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,477.98 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Hawks | 47c | 4,088$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.71 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf6…ff0dbacked Pistons | 43c | 3,636$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Hawks | 19c | 3,226$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.73 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8be7backed Hawks | 13c | 3,046$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Pistons | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hawks | 61c | 2,771$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.52 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Hawks | 20c | 2,578$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.29 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pistons | 43c | 2,566$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.78 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…8c5bbacked Hawks | 60c | 2,511$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Hawks | 1c | 2,484$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hawks | 57c | 1,951$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.7 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Hawks | 19c | 1,843$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.27 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Hawks | 20c | 1,750$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.14 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Pistons | 56c | 1,650$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…a0ffbacked Pistons | 68c | 1,632$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.35 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a72…3c27backed Pistons | 40c | 1,625$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…dde1backed Hawks | 60c | 1,625$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.39per pick | 54cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b0…f6fabacked Pistons | 44c | 1,625$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2209…823ebacked Hawks | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…0fbfbacked Pistons | 42c | 1,488$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.1 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pistons | 39c | 1,425$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.01 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hawks | 5c | 1,400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Pistons | 43c | 1,399$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.97 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Hawks | 58c | 1,372$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Hawks | 56c | 1,365$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.47 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…755dbacked Pistons | 53c | 1,323$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.6 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Pistons | 55c | 1,295$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.98 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Pistons | 78c | 1,269$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.23 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Hawks | 59c | 1,242$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.87 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks | 13c | 1,228$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.72 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pistons | 52c | 1,218$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.78 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Pistons | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Hawks | 2c | 1,100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Hawks | 58c | 1,080$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.5 | 351 | 65.2%229 W · 122 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Hawks | 58c | 1,074$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.78 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Pistons | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Pistons | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hawks | 61c | 1,000$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.94 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…44c4backed Pistons | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x616d…480cbacked Hawks | 58c | 999.97$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Pistons | 44c | 960.23$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.11 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721d…4ae3backed Pistons | 43c | 952.7$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e0…9c9fbacked Hawks | 22c | 938.38$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.75 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Pistons | 44c | 938.31$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.46 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…b623backed Pistons | 43c | 898.46$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Hawks | 58c | 892$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.36 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0aa…27c0backed Hawks | 59c | 874.66$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…acebbacked Pistons | 41c | 829.26$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.26 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6150…13f7backed Hawks | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -6.9wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Hawks | 57c | 799.83$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.9 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Hawks | 1c | 775$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 243 | 34.2%83 W · 160 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Hawks | 58c | 749.97$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.98 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d41…eba3backed Hawks | 57c | 691.04$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f6…a090backed Hawks | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…0a95backed Pistons | 43c | 669.44$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f3b3backed Hawks | 63c | 662.86$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…7dafbacked Pistons | 37c | 662.86$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Pistons | 41c | 662.72$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.74 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Pistons | 39c | 652$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.72 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Hawks | 55c | 618.44$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.67 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Hawks | 57c | 608.38$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.28 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9749…b3e3backed Hawks | 57c | 584.18$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Pistons | 77c | 582.34$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.97 | 191 | 64.9%124 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Pistons | 44c | 573.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.7 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Hawks | 60c | 565.98$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.55 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pistons | 40c | 565.11$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.07 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Pistons | 38c | 547$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.14 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0546…2496backed Hawks | 57c | 522.5$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Pistons | 42c | 505$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.11 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Hawks | 13c | 504.2$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Hawks | 5c | 483.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…28f4backed Hawks | 58c | 478.56$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.57 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87ef…2c77backed Hawks | 58c | 463.35$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.74 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…ed2dbacked Hawks | 57c | 444.99$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Hawks | 57c | 424.56$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc573…e1d4backed Hawks | 59c | 420$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…f73ebacked Hawks | 61c | 420$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked Pistons | 42c | 414.12$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.19 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…2162backed Hawks | 62c | 406.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2e07backed Hawks | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Hawks | 59c | 400$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.14 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Pistons | 67c | 383.15$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.35 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Pistons | 43c | 381.72$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.77 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Hawks | 24c | 381$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.51 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Hawks | 55c | 380.56$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.31 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0299…8a59backed Pistons | 43c | 380.54$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +220.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Pistons | 55c | 370.03$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.03 | 306 | 48.7%149 W · 157 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.