TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle win on 2024-10-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,687
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,518

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,687 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes53c5,391$2,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,874.1940254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked No46c4,976$2,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,686.9910650%53 W · 53 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed Yes56c2,107$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.989037.8%34 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed No44c1,476$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.4844939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1394…e426backed No44c1,100$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6161650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84b8…1912backed Yes48c1,005$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76e5…5f94backed No51c1,004$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed No44c849.12$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47915554.8%85 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Yes56c700$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3926959.4%41 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No51c516.18$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.9318950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No54c383.64$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.837841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa20…fd0dbacked Yes48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1442245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes57c280.7$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16018433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaab…0979backed Yes52c244$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fc9…261fbacked No48c244$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c7…5607backed Yes49c242.63$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12e3…b751backed No51c241$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1afa…7053backed No51c235$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…b660backed Yes49c235$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No50c222$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11116848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe74…54a8backed No51c220.19$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8c…2752backed Yes49c220.19$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Yes47c217.39$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.398652.3%45 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2ea…9cd7backed Yes10c200$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.53836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x541e…e793backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0692…10fbbacked Yes58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1161921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick40cpaid-39.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb65d…3757backed No52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked No52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968633.7%29 W · 57 L-14.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed No50c197.09$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5517143.3%74 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddc3…a171backed Yes42c180.61$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.993732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1645…47a0backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003040%12 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc025…694fbacked Yes57c166.28$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.78425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xacab…a69bbacked Yes53c150.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-53.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fff…10d5backed Yes55c135$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.353839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x731b…80c0backed Yes52c125$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf06d…3b80backed No50c124$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf305…5edbbacked Yes49c103$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.47333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf655…f5debacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5020040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aba…3589backed No52c99.04$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ec…c3b2backed No52c99.04$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80a4…5eb2backed No52c99.04$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c85…b7fdbacked No52c99.04$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f87…57b4backed No52c99.04$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ae…70b4backed No52c99.04$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2314…5f6abacked No52c99.04$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ba…1fbbbacked No52c99.04$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20a5…6c7dbacked No52c99.04$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x258a…d1d4backed No52c99.04$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.54250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0272…73d3backed Yes50c99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5957…2931backed Yes50c99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33e…2e71backed Yes49c98.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1822…79babacked Yes49c98.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b46…cce7backed Yes49c98.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8dc…6f40backed Yes49c98.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18da…5e25backed Yes49c98.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9cb…c33ebacked Yes49c98.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb68e…6b69backed Yes49c98.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c7…e143backed Yes49c98.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x019b…52fcbacked Yes49c98.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40a7…8dd6backed Yes49c98.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb96e…c7e8backed No53c95.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c25…ec8cbacked No53c95.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.784100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd791…f747backed Yes49c95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf88d…8ae0backed Yes52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+49.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bd7…c1f3backed Yes48c79.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.393534.3%12 W · 23 L-5.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-33%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4630…a058backed No52c76.69$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.696258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32c7…1dc7backed Yes57c70$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+31.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47dc…eec9backed Yes57c68.42$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3298…e82cbacked No52c67.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.343100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+130.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7aeb…b5febacked Yes49c64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick37cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5a3…fafbbacked No52c64$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+127.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x919f…05c5backed No50c58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x684b…1bc4backed Yes52c58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff1a…0582backed Yes49c55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e3e…af1abacked No52c55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7d4…962dbacked Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a2a…db7dbacked Yes50c49.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec61…c534backed Yes50c43.42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5079…708dbacked Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb26f…78f4backed Yes50c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d13…58aabacked No52c32.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90a2…cd8abacked Yes53c32.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.071154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…93c4backed No49c32.14$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.391275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+31.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a2e…511ebacked Yes50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1c…422abacked No52c30.27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdea8…52e0backed No53c30.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6058…b7e9backed No53c30.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511353.1%60 W · 53 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eb6…3839backed Yes50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d13…34d6backed Yes50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eb6…f485backed Yes50c26.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Yes49c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.253842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1184…326cbacked No53c22.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0587…2695backed Yes53c20.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7540%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fd0…09d3backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x484c…017ebacked Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102725.9%7 W · 20 L-5.9wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-39.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4c8…1d90backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.