Premier League · resolved market
Will Brighton win on 2024-10-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0d7b5a83c5eb45cb7d0d5509a07af0e751cf6cb57cfb0d5fdcea10aca060f92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 77c | 9,209$7,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,135.07 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 77c | 2,421$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.39 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 35c | 1,799$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.31 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 20c | 1,037$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.7 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.95 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 79c | 622.33$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.64 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 26c | 518.9$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.99 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 26c | 407.54$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.58 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…6677backed Yes | 21c | 397.1$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.71 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca93…5355backed Yes | 55c | 386.16$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 28c | 223.21$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.71 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 25c | 222$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 72c | 215.42$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.1 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91ef…4f7cbacked Yes | 71c | 194.54$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…0410backed Yes | 48c | 180$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 28c | 171.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.3 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked No | 51c | 168.63$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…2be5backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed Yes | 20c | 130.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.12 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3362…8cb4backed Yes | 28c | 125$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 74c | 121.62$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…ee1dbacked Yes | 33c | 108.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf305…5edbbacked Yes | 27c | 103$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…bb64backed No | 62c | 101.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.03 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd791…f747backed Yes | 29c | 95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf88d…8ae0backed Yes | 27c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32c7…1dc7backed Yes | 21c | 70$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c1…79f5backed No | 74c | 54.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…a4b2backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad10…448ebacked No | 72c | 49.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Yes | 25c | 47.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542b…216ebacked Yes | 32c | 45.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…24ebbacked No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf8…3431backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 38c | 39.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b79…a640backed No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a02…7062backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea9…02f9backed Yes | 69c | 27.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…ef44backed Yes | 79c | 24.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 73c | 24.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brighton win on 2024-10-19?this page
- Will Newcastle vs. Brighton end in a draw?No won
- Will Newcastle win on 2024-10-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.