TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham win on 2024-11-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,038
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,715

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,038 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd178…6703backed Yes49c2,077$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.4418948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x834e…8015backed No48c1,987$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.723855.3%21 W · 17 L+6.4wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+102.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Yes48c1,898$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.792850%14 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Yes52c1,851$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.7110650%53 W · 53 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb228…2734backed Yes25c1,480$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.52236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No54c1,189$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.3737841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes46c1,013$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.8415554.8%85 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c57…9c22backed Yes47c999.98$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…94cbbacked No52c999.98$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No52c999.97$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9834643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed No62c967.64$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.249361.3%57 W · 36 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked No53c951.51$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009238%35 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No51c852.49$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.7715337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No69c844.35$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.834251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x541e…e793backed Yes49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4081747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb65d…3757backed No54c790$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.62853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7569…79ebbacked Yes50c608$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.541154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa88d…221cbacked Yes29c560$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+158.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes48c532.65$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9817234.3%59 W · 113 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a6…ee95backed No61c525.58$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.45554.5%30 W · 25 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xffc0…8c5ebacked No70c522.26$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72e8…687ebacked Yes48c521.56$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes58c515.52$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.5229044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked No53c500.17$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.093148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Yes49c495.08$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.941573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.26per pick48cpaid+61%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x451b…57d8backed No53c429.25$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Yes49c408.47$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.471145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20444939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x487f…30babacked No52c390$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.82369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+40%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf64…7e54backed Yes48c390$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.82725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a77…48febacked Yes48c382.96$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ec…bbcabacked No54c381.81$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Yes46c367.79$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.615653.6%30 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+53.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb830…4c39backed Yes48c361.48$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x484a…7ca9backed No53c361.34$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89e3…6396backed No54c355.35$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc3…a171backed Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.273732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked No53c269.36$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.767651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb85e…35a4backed Yes48c267.38$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d45…604dbacked Yes48c267.38$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7487…6f2dbacked No53c267.28$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.66250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fea…449fbacked No53c267.28$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1927…e5d5backed No52c211$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd0…63abbacked Yes48c211$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Yes47c185$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0511527%31 W · 84 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbccb…a425backed Yes30c184.01$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.011127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd51…0aebbacked Yes48c156.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa20f…06a4backed Yes48c151.41$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+66.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7832736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e62…71f4backed Yes44c149.2$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.22552%13 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd31…f196backed Yes31c143.73$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.881233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x501c…080bbacked Yes49c140.94$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eff…9b9fbacked No53c140.47$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked Yes11c136.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.774560%27 W · 18 L+6.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+97.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x664e…340abacked Yes14c134$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.24771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.39per pick33cpaid+151.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12e1…51f6backed Yes14c119.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.699534.7%33 W · 62 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Yes30c118.29$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.81625%4 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-45%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab6…0bb2backed No53c116.21$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked No51c112.62$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4314450.7%73 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61de…e4f7backed Yes49c111.22$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…2be4backed No53c107.58$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde76…29aebacked Yes47c102.13$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.131172.7%8 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.36per pick36cpaid+94.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0f7f…d808backed Yes49c100.57$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5111353.1%60 W · 53 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6b…7b67backed No53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b3b5backed Yes53c78.52$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4630…a058backed No53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbff…bf7fbacked No53c74.43$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc50e…bab3backed No53c73.36$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.88850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+84.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3080…6b8ebacked Yes48c70.9$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f6…bcf9backed Yes49c70.27$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc74…9905backed Yes49c68.55$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.96333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes49c67$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1729238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa6…ee18backed Yes48c63.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.96333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca75…6433backed Yes48c63.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc893…e3eebacked No53c63.36$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f44…01fcbacked No53c63.36$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No75c63$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4556453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x98b3…4a3abacked Yes49c61.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2215636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa7c2…a1e0backed Yes49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.22742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90df…5a49backed No53c60.79$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8229146%134 W · 157 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x477d…e691backed Yes49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.025848.3%28 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0820…e937backed No53c50.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c64…1d7abacked No53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+76.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc9…d3d0backed Yes49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed No52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2616060%96 W · 64 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a17…fbdbbacked Yes47c48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.44333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44ab…a5dabacked Yes49c44.84$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.875100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e61…5c63backed Yes48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4c8…1d90backed Yes48c41.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.452142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c05…fc5ebacked Yes49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.823545.7%16 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ac7…8deebacked Yes49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.821450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b07…9379backed Yes49c40.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Yes57c38.6$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.65740.4%23 W · 34 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes31c31.88$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.877825.6%20 W · 58 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes37c31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4111915.1%18 W · 101 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5618…1a22backed No53c30.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x395b…dc41backed Yes48c30.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.