Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford win on 2024-11-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21aedf185cfe4f032f334085f07d0a7c527365a4192b0d46448b329a771f3807
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 58c | 21,607$12,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,997.47 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 42c | 11,920$5,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,013.25 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 42c | 9,558$4,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,045.59 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 72c | 2,853$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.96 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Yes | 28c | 1,857$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 64c | 1,709$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.88 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 47c | 1,153$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.25 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…fb70backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…2734backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.9 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed No | 73c | 999.94$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.98 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 65c | 988.11$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.65 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664e…340abacked No | 23c | 875$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 33cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 28c | 846.24$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.48 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 43c | 732.51$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.88 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 49c | 475$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.1 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…3fc8backed No | 74c | 346.54$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…f196backed Yes | 39c | 310$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked No | 55c | 292.4$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.4 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b4afbacked Yes | 50c | 286.68$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x678f…baa0backed Yes | 27c | 259.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…fb74backed Yes | 28c | 258.57$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 24cpaid | +208%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01b9…e864backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 71c | 199.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed No | 48c | 196.24$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.1 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked Yes | 9c | 175$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +158.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 73c | 165$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 72c | 156.04$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed No | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 27c | 149.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb44…f556backed Yes | 28c | 140.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…7da0backed No | 74c | 107.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0692…10fbbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…dd8ebacked Yes | 31c | 97.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +331%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 43c | 95.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac55…61f7backed Yes | 27c | 91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Yes | 25c | 88.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…ca47backed Yes | 27c | 87.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc12…1e02backed Yes | 26c | 76.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58bf…040abacked Yes | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…2c25backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x716a…f6cfbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330a…ccc8backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0626…2574backed Yes | 27c | 69.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…e097backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 52c | 55.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f46…b84bbacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…1a68backed Yes | 29c | 50.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…1111backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258a…7cb1backed Yes | 28c | 49.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…fbdbbacked Yes | 27c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked No | 32c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d90…66d0backed Yes | 27c | 43.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…81e6backed Yes | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 26c | 39.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34d1…c822backed No | 74c | 37.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a6…c236backed Yes | 50c | 36.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…71f4backed No | 62c | 33.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689b…ef21backed Yes | 49c | 33.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe754…760bbacked No | 74c | 27.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…d3d0backed No | 74c | 25.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0a…d64bbacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c637backed No | 74c | 14.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford win on 2024-11-04?this page
- Will Fulham vs. Brentford end in a draw?No won
- Will Fulham win on 2024-11-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.