Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham vs. Brentford end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x554a66a9875d6448d0290a0a117d2c64b964ab070fd03f2f3cb0c06bb8cb1307
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 68c | 5,717$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.6 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 32c | 5,559$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.89 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 75c | 3,910$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.9 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 24c | 2,244$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.52 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed No | 75c | 2,200$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.96 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…2734backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…8015backed Yes | 24c | 970$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.5 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 77c | 907.61$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.1 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 24c | 751.13$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.27 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed No | 76c | 597.33$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.33 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Yes | 24c | 399.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 26c | 388.46$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…434cbacked No | 23c | 369.88$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.14 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +329.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc47b…7812backed No | 76c | 346.26$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 26c | 298.88$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.71 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1b…e662backed Yes | 27c | 276.75$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbabc…0aedbacked Yes | 25c | 239$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…025fbacked Yes | 26c | 207.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed No | 66c | 203.51$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 25c | 190.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…8fb7backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6321…aeb6backed No | 76c | 128.45$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…f196backed Yes | 72c | 123.09$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 25c | 122.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53be…6377backed No | 75c | 109.93$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1386…eec1backed Yes | 25c | 107.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +158.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…3996backed Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…21b6backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58bf…040abacked Yes | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d7…8260backed No | 72c | 73.71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2c98backed No | 75c | 70.29$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf8…3431backed Yes | 27c | 68.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbccb…a425backed Yes | 32c | 65.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc859…391fbacked Yes | 25c | 61.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 25c | 56.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…81e6backed Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 62c | 50.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0973…0770backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb599…1b7fbacked Yes | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dcb…b048backed Yes | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…d6d9backed Yes | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…fbdbbacked Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf489…7ef8backed No | 76c | 33.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 31c | 32.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6da…e1ecbacked No | 75c | 25.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…7770backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…8a00backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0790…ec89backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…2fdebacked No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8876…caa2backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfa…5192backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham vs. Brentford end in a draw?this page
- Will Brentford win on 2024-11-04?No won
- Will Fulham win on 2024-11-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.