TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Buccaneers vs. Falcons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Buccaneersof Buccaneers, Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,238,682
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,279,313

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,238,682 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd2c5…79a0backed Buccaneers50c596,245$300,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296,179.911361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Falcons50c217,548$108,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108,220.6644652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe686…13cbbacked Falcons50c149,000$74,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,5001915.8%3 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-52.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked Falcons49c144,410$70,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,760.91241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Falcons37c43,836$16,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,155.0230043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Buccaneers52c38,248$20,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,215.947738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Falcons49c30,000$14,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,699.9313843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Buccaneers56c28,532$15,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,690.0422548.4%109 W · 116 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Falcons50c24,476$12,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,238.094637%17 W · 29 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Buccaneers50c23,991$11,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,001.9512144.6%54 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Falcons58c23,724$13,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,833.746245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Falcons50c20,444$10,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,222.2210462.5%65 W · 39 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+45.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Falcons49c20,396$9,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,994.0811146.8%52 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Buccaneers52c20,354$10,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,866.7360049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Buccaneers52c18,121$9,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,701.6630743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed Buccaneers51c16,564$8,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,116.361145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b1…968abacked Falcons49c16,500$8,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,084.977939.2%31 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Buccaneers50c16,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,00017454.6%95 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa526…8d8dbacked Falcons50c15,593$7,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,796.25540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Buccaneers53c13,333$7,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,212.9210566.7%70 W · 35 L+12.6wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Buccaneers50c12,500$6,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,25014351%73 W · 70 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Falcons50c12,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00013142%55 W · 76 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Buccaneers51c10,212$5,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,003.84666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+113.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Falcons46c10,077$4,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,684.6341851.9%217 W · 201 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Falcons50c9,164$4,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,574.853348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Falcons49c7,500$3,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,67583147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f89…0d03backed Falcons50c7,483$3,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,770.245330.2%16 W · 37 L-8.5wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-36.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Buccaneers51c7,119$3,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,454.128151.6%145 W · 136 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Buccaneers55c7,030$3,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,153.1864747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75e0…fe50backed Falcons53c6,844$3,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,594.7810960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa408…e305backed Buccaneers59c6,302$3,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,605.716550.8%33 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Buccaneers51c6,179$3,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,027.945048%24 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Buccaneers61c6,001$3,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,320.0219551.3%100 W · 95 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Buccaneers69c5,515$3,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.0220634.5%71 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Buccaneers50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50035848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Buccaneers54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,30016036.3%58 W · 102 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Buccaneers50c4,279$2,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,131.2729356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d3d…35d0backed Buccaneers51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.571080%8 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+58%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Buccaneers52c3,288$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.2430446.7%142 W · 162 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Falcons44c2,800$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.9610552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Falcons42c2,748$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.864436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Falcons48c2,708$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.847657.9%44 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+134.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb27f…8908backed Buccaneers53c2,450$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.55851.7%30 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0fd…a7dabacked Buccaneers51c2,450$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.381855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+39%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Buccaneers66c2,402$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.6641947.3%198 W · 221 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Buccaneers45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.2211252.7%59 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Falcons44c2,214$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.794553.3%24 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Buccaneers51c2,200$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,07828447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Buccaneers51c2,054$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.453759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…69fdbacked Buccaneers35c2,005$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.5511755.6%65 W · 52 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea98…ce4dbacked Falcons34c2,005$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.19450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Buccaneers67c1,930$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.8668446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Falcons50c1,899$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.831848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Falcons40c1,626$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.7927348.7%133 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Buccaneers50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.126245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Falcons58c1,596$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.3523850.8%121 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0914…9c93backed Buccaneers33c1,515$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.51771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick36cpaid+115%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Falcons46c1,321$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.6627339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Falcons48c1,317$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.6431854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Buccaneers45c1,291$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.7612138.8%47 W · 74 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Buccaneers51c1,176$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.477544%33 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd368…1889backed Buccaneers51c1,176$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.1813842%58 W · 80 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Falcons43c1,065$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.523351.9%121 W · 112 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Falcons49c1,021$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.296233.9%21 W · 41 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9bff…331cbacked Buccaneers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002650%13 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Buccaneers51c969$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.815837.9%22 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Falcons49c960$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.44645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Buccaneers57c918.27$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8710345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38ce…5431backed Falcons53c887.32$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.558257.3%47 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Falcons46c875.95$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.4361148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Falcons36c871.53$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.425719.3%11 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-56.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ac1…45dbbacked Falcons46c869.57$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0166…c1aebacked Falcons52c820$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4251154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Falcons57c817.79$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.657833.3%26 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda53…9209backed Falcons50c800.02$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-61.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Falcons50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40017348%83 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Falcons46c794.26$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.8831056.8%176 W · 134 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77f2…1742backed Buccaneers39c789.44$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Falcons2c715$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.964311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x486e…c403backed Buccaneers55c697.53$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.91540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Buccaneers46c685$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.9522950.2%115 W · 114 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dd0…7b4fbacked Buccaneers39c673.87$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.064323.3%10 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Falcons44c645$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.87655.3%42 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Buccaneers72c640$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.27733.8%26 W · 51 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Falcons52c625$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3256333.3%21 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Buccaneers44c580.1$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.5613942.4%59 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Falcons59c567$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.9548847.5%232 W · 256 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ab…fbb5backed Falcons50c555.88$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.941233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Falcons48c552.83$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.4924551%125 W · 120 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Falcons50c500.39$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.217251.7%89 W · 83 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Buccaneers48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2602433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x699d…7b47backed Falcons37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1852931%9 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+61%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Buccaneers51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24512133.9%41 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Falcons49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24513450%67 W · 67 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Buccaneers50c499$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.54062.5%25 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…fa1dbacked Buccaneers51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28b1…5a3fbacked Buccaneers52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.779359.1%55 W · 38 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Buccaneers61c465.22$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.1450242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6149…dacfbacked Buccaneers39c410.74$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Falcons51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20419459.3%115 W · 79 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.