TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Colombia wins Copa America 2024?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$237,864
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$220,800

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,864 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x43e3…c7f2backed Yes37c54,651$19,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,967.54650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…2032backed No66c24,801$16,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,436.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e8…a7bdbacked Yes38c24,333$9,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,288.42540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f47…af93backed No66c22,761$15,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,674.727437.8%28 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5856…d005backed Yes38c20,865$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed No63c14,783$9,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,469.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6d…6967backed Yes34c13,780$4,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,744.15450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1dc…7283backed Yes17c5,090$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+96.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d04…ed05backed Yes22c5,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed No61c4,595$2,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.056346%29 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8942…c195backed Yes25c3,369$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.8430%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c47…2826backed No69c3,354$2,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x296b…2cf2backed Yes9c3,285$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked No69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93012055%66 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f1d…98cdbacked Yes31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x282e…00f3backed Yes9c2,242$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d0…5d6fbacked Yes37c2,189$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05ca…679bbacked Yes46c2,150$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ab3…dc66backed Yes12c2,134$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.04616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-78.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bf1…9b14backed Yes13c2,034$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes22c1,702$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.196636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…9434backed No64c1,600$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5732100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Yes22c1,553$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.7150%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e21…c431backed No64c1,550$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.483100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked No66c1,516$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.219961.6%61 W · 38 L+13.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa976…c000backed Yes14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001020%2 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-67.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a8d…8129backed Yes38c1,353$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.45540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb39…7cdbbacked Yes21c1,350$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.230%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaea5…9c64backed Yes36c1,236$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x49b6…170cbacked Yes18c1,150$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.621618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4293…4db9backed Yes37c1,099$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67cc…a2aabacked Yes15c1,004$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69d0…be18backed Yes37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd568…ba70backed Yes19c961.27$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.282722.2%6 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf33…261fbacked Yes36c902.53$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.91540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed No62c870.25$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3299861.2%60 W · 38 L+12.3wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+28.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8f33…09a3backed Yes35c856.76$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes18c825.57$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.615337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes37c810.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1497…bd24backed Yes38c738.52$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec4…a111backed No63c714.24$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.27540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef0…20cbbacked Yes12c700$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-53.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes14c652.61$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.515923.7%14 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5c…b0b4backed Yes38c650.33$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1afb…777fbacked Yes2c649$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd882…c190backed Yes38c578.94$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes36c560.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007650%38 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3743…e5b6backed No65c550$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…afc7backed Yes38c532.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc04b…1424backed Yes21c525.61$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.381216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-43.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a4…cdb7backed Yes23c504.6$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.78825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-56.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b42…873dbacked Yes37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1a…74d1backed Yes21c499.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-71.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfafc…a76bbacked Yes38c475.53$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-55.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3cbe…8c96backed Yes37c444.36$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6511…fda3backed Yes39c440.95$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a62…868fbacked Yes37c408.96$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42a6…9ea8backed Yes37c407.77$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x415c…3c94backed Yes21c401.11$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.26026.7%16 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcae3…c839backed Yes37c352.99$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb125…cb78backed Yes27c343.92$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc711…d3c6backed Yes35c314.29$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbee7…f0e5backed Yes37c311.93$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No62c306.3$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3940046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7de…d72dbacked Yes24c304$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da0…0412backed Yes37c301.78$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a90…34eabacked Yes18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde37…c71ebacked No65c298.55$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1869…22c9backed No63c285.98$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9618…12d1backed Yes18c278.54$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4740%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9819…0aaebacked Yes38c278.25$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Yes37c270$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.93339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffb…6528backed No64c257.98$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.87475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+49.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ea0…c6c8backed No64c252.26$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9429…be6dbacked Yes12c250$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fed…ba15backed Yes12c246.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4982…ee63backed Yes40c240$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-66.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65f2…b488backed Yes21c240$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.42611.5%3 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-7.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3244…43bebacked Yes34c230$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2889…ce1bbacked No64c227.29$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06cb…fd30backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick23cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cf8…6598backed Yes13c223.08$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0060…eb25backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6601…25f4backed Yes48c214.83$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb8…2758backed No64c213.83$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48a…fd41backed No64c203.32$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf20b…008abacked No72c202.03$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a0c…ed5abacked No60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4214057.9%81 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe121…1d13backed No65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+230.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bd0…4c12backed Yes8c195$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa8b9…1f58backed Yes13c185.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb20…e3a5backed Yes41c184.86$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e64…b896backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3450…b297backed Yes35c154.98$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.24425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-63.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbd1…76b9backed Yes35c153.73$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8150%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c0e…1411backed Yes14c153$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x807f…bad6backed No63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6126…87eebacked Yes12c139.72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.