TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Canada wins Copa America 2024?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$175,914
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$154,473

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,914 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc04b…1424backed Yes3c100,000$3,300 inLost-$3,3001216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-43.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6d…6967backed Yes5c10,000$462 inLost-$462.45450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x415c…3c94backed Yes2c4,847$91 inLost-$90.796026.7%16 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes2c3,832$61 inLost-$60.915712.3%7 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-39.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce93…0f23backed Yes3c2,964$100 inLost-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes3c2,555$77 inLost-$775923.7%14 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes4c2,300$85 inLost-$85.286660.6%40 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d65…f779backed Yes3c1,762$60 inLost-$60.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x438d…3ec8backed Yes2c1,555$38 inLost-$37.66333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick20cpaid-30.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x65f2…b488backed Yes2c1,200$21 inLost-$21.392611.5%3 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-7.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d62…7b5abacked Yes1c1,122$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9618…12d1backed Yes2c1,111$20 inLost-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8492…6069backed Yes4c1,076$45 inLost-$44.7730%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd568…ba70backed Yes3c989.99$33 inLost-$33.112722.2%6 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0621…024fbacked Yes3c600$19 inLost-$19.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf849…3941backed Yes7c591.5$40 inLost-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a64…27c8backed Yes5c520.83$25 inLost-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbd1…76b9backed Yes4c490$17 inLost-$17.1550%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06cb…fd30backed Yes4c416.04$17 inLost-$171216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick23cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.