Premier League · resolved market
Venezuela wins Copa America 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e9b13d8ba623c6b03f1c4949e50b59161368e404068972d79844ab1785b7869
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca62…fbfabacked Yes | 3c | 8,216$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5e…846ebacked Yes | 4c | 4,336$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,729$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6426…ee86backed Yes | 3c | 2,109$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…2a8cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,786$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…12d1backed Yes | 3c | 1,669$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4b…1327backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd698…4ba6backed Yes | 3c | 705.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 2c | 555.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…ba70backed Yes | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf8…6598backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…dabcbacked Yes | 25c | 202.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Venezuela wins Copa America 2024?this page
- Argentina wins Copa America 2024?Yes won
- Brazil wins Copa America 2024?No won
- Canada wins Copa America 2024?No won
- Chile wins Copa America 2024?No won
- Colombia wins Copa America 2024?No won
- Ecuador wins Copa America 2024?No won
- Mexico wins Copa America 2024?No won
- Panama wins Copa America 2024?No won
- United States wins Copa America 2024?No won
- Uruguay wins Copa America 2024?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.