Premier League · resolved market
Brazil wins Copa America 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bbef6dd73765c2e40f14dc49392ecc3233c4d925ccaf4d05ce003630227cab4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ef0…20cbbacked Yes | 26c | 4,046$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.56 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 20c | 2,118$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.52 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ac…1317backed Yes | 25c | 1,437$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc861…89d7backed Yes | 28c | 1,364$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…00f3backed Yes | 27c | 1,282$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1664…7467backed No | 73c | 1,150$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6a…3134backed Yes | 22c | 1,136$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 21cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…9a2fbacked Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…eb2ebacked Yes | 28c | 809.71$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 74c | 735.68$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.25 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Yes | 26c | 703.16$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.78 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b7…a282backed Yes | 30c | 513.17$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed Yes | 27c | 504$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.08 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f2…b488backed Yes | 26c | 480$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6953…bc71backed Yes | 29c | 449.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…bfb8backed Yes | 28c | 449.64$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.9 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5387…c91ebacked Yes | 29c | 440$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…dc66backed No | 77c | 416.83$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…e416backed Yes | 24c | 413.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0d…3d76backed Yes | 25c | 408.89$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…dc7fbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…681abacked Yes | 29c | 354.33$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 22c | 347.03$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b9…9cddbacked No | 72c | 287.33$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc7…7ca8backed Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…6528backed No | 73c | 214$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…9dfebacked No | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3c…651bbacked No | 71c | 182.03$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfafc…a76bbacked No | 75c | 180.69$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06cb…fd30backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17f9…3fccbacked No | 76c | 158.69$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade0…dbacbacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…eb52backed No | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 18c | 149.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…62c8backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fef…ddd2backed Yes | 28c | 129.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8b…754fbacked Yes | 25c | 118.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…7537backed Yes | 28c | 104$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed Yes | 21c | 101.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…dea6backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb4…179fbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ef…de3abacked Yes | 26c | 73.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…8ae5backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6574…0d6cbacked No | 75c | 66.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b4…909ebacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…a136backed Yes | 30c | 43.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a71…3c62backed Yes | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…2062backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…8fb1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1a…57c8backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…1815backed No | 74c | 30.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…ba70backed No | 71c | 27.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d3…6a33backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…34cebacked No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3a…3f8cbacked No | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil wins Copa America 2024?this page
- Argentina wins Copa America 2024?Yes won
- Canada wins Copa America 2024?No won
- Chile wins Copa America 2024?No won
- Colombia wins Copa America 2024?No won
- Ecuador wins Copa America 2024?No won
- Mexico wins Copa America 2024?No won
- Panama wins Copa America 2024?No won
- United States wins Copa America 2024?No won
- Uruguay wins Copa America 2024?No won
- Venezuela wins Copa America 2024?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.