Premier League · resolved market
Uruguay wins Copa America 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbad5c040f90e0802524588d975d5db28cf286542efb6e04ef1f7db3793953584
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b9e…74aebacked Yes | 19c | 6,599$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8219…f1fabacked Yes | 16c | 3,559$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.03 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4401…3a00backed Yes | 20c | 1,735$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1dc…7283backed Yes | 16c | 1,200$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…20cbbacked Yes | 18c | 1,200$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 75c | 1,008$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce91…9c9fbacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6a…3134backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 21cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e30…8c15backed Yes | 23c | 750.58$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 15c | 740$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d0…b6abbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…00f3backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a90…34eabacked Yes | 26c | 633.88$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 17c | 517.67$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.57 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…507ebacked Yes | 37c | 409.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d02…0151backed Yes | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06cb…fd30backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…dc66backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65f2…b488backed Yes | 19c | 335.88$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x856e…d41cbacked No | 76c | 323.27$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…0f95backed Yes | 24c | 312.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…ba70backed Yes | 18c | 299.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…37eabacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…e416backed Yes | 16c | 255.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05da…7e46backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 23c | 220$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Yes | 20c | 215.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…eb25backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf8…6598backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea0…c6c8backed No | 77c | 161.44$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes | 15c | 161.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7a…5066backed Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Yes | 17c | 131.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48a…fd41backed No | 77c | 130.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9819…0aaebacked No | 77c | 105.73$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d1…1221backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…6988backed Yes | 15c | 97.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8d…2921backed Yes | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 21c | 78.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…6a40backed Yes | 23c | 77.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0d…3d76backed No | 76c | 69.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d23…fbe1backed No | 78c | 66.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…7bd8backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…8fb1backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…b1d1backed Yes | 21c | 50.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3778…5aeebacked Yes | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cf…dea8backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f4…2452backed No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2993…a1b7backed No | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…dfb9backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Uruguay wins Copa America 2024?this page
- Argentina wins Copa America 2024?Yes won
- Brazil wins Copa America 2024?No won
- Canada wins Copa America 2024?No won
- Chile wins Copa America 2024?No won
- Colombia wins Copa America 2024?No won
- Ecuador wins Copa America 2024?No won
- Mexico wins Copa America 2024?No won
- Panama wins Copa America 2024?No won
- United States wins Copa America 2024?No won
- Venezuela wins Copa America 2024?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.