TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Nets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Grizzlies, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,239
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,958

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,239 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Nets52c6,200$3,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,974.5747656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Nets50c3,113$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.5565642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Nets56c2,587$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.7426547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe77e…d303backed Grizzlies53c2,518$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.01425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-59%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Grizzlies38c1,528$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.1561532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Grizzlies34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50053134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Grizzlies45c1,423$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.7219137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Grizzlies62c1,200$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74413857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Grizzlies64c1,200$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.9936748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets35c1,191$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.021,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Grizzlies64c918.33$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.7319642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf063…a4f2backed Grizzlies22c912.42$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.2560%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Grizzlies35c910.65$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.4823833.2%79 W · 159 L-19.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Nets34c617.88$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.946131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Nets36c600$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3841,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78da…9d47backed Grizzlies64c526.25$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.86851.5%35 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79ee…ae97backed Grizzlies65c480$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3124837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd2eb…f1b0backed Grizzlies62c468$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.161838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xceab…bbfabacked Nets37c467.68$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.451861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Grizzlies49c427.67$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.1627041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Grizzlies65c399.95$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9719845.5%90 W · 108 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8369…3c94backed Nets52c384.81$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.816547.7%31 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee48…9f11backed Grizzlies66c380$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4514…4d7bbacked Nets35c375$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Grizzlies48c374.62$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8214233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd968…bd18backed Nets55c372.91$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.068334.9%29 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76d0…c092backed Grizzlies45c359.52$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.783531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd35…c85ebacked Grizzlies56c356.84$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007347.9%35 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7577…8027backed Grizzlies67c350$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7716…4db7backed Nets35c350$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2281100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+186.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Nets37c318.92$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.9227939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea7…f625backed Nets45c305.5$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.258232.9%27 W · 55 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Grizzlies65c288.41$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.4733752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Grizzlies37c236.35$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4510462.5%65 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa88d…221cbacked Grizzlies49c199.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.51643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Nets48c191.35$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.518437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Nets61c188.21$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.411332.7%37 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18cb…7364backed Grizzlies64c171.88$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5433…0d50backed Nets33c160.32$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.412166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+42.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies63c157.09$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.976139.3%24 W · 37 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a01…05cebacked Nets46c156.3$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.65520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-56.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Nets41c150$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.518316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Nets33c149.95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.471,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca69…fd01backed Grizzlies48c128.55$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.232965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Nets63c119.44$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4426934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Grizzlies64c113.33$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4314129.1%41 W · 100 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc4f3…a05ebacked Grizzlies64c101.56$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Nets35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6516443.3%71 W · 93 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4384…f52fbacked Nets36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644742.6%20 W · 27 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Grizzlies54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5477437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9857…be38backed Nets62c97.22$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.223844.7%17 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+40.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x72fd…7e92backed Grizzlies65c90.68$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.941010%1 W · 9 L-4.3wins-0.43per pick53cpaid-85.9%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xc2b4…ee1bbacked Grizzlies66c86.64$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.18616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-63.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09e8…9c65backed Grizzlies65c85.43$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.534548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6b…986ebacked Nets36c83.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.331070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c81…1a5cbacked Grizzlies66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Nets36c69.96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7711719.7%23 W · 94 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d51…df73backed Grizzlies65c64.91$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.05366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Grizzlies41c61.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2553250.4%268 W · 264 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda67…b950backed Grizzlies57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.24944.9%22 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Grizzlies26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530648.7%149 W · 157 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f32…8463backed Grizzlies36c57.36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.651822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Grizzlies55c53.29$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3136747.7%175 W · 192 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Nets38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6329635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…3216backed Grizzlies56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8f8…5660backed Nets52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.210440.4%42 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe680…8788backed Grizzlies66c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick36cpaid+84.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8901…e16bbacked Grizzlies40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204337.2%16 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Grizzlies62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3127548.7%134 W · 141 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0615…5c47backed Nets35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.513823.2%32 W · 106 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccac…ab7dbacked Grizzlies45c44.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202536%9 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-31.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d10…6020backed Grizzlies47c42.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Nets34c40.27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5972341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2461…a002backed Nets40c39.78$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.782055%11 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bd1…b023backed Nets37c38.09$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.972326.1%6 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9785…2c5abacked Nets36c30.8$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.84949%24 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+26.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x609a…50fcbacked Nets63c30.63$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ae5…3113backed Grizzlies66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023359.7%139 W · 94 L+0.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7742…03e9backed Grizzlies38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.419939.2%78 W · 121 L-17.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9a9e…dde1backed Nets35c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.55650%28 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a1…ad7bbacked Nets36c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.212747.2%60 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf06d…3b80backed Grizzlies67c29.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cce…18f5backed Grizzlies67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Grizzlies64c27.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7619757.4%113 W · 84 L+0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5138…1d4dbacked Grizzlies65c27.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189645.8%44 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x412b…0ccabacked Grizzlies65c27.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1830%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51f2…8d23backed Nets45c26.71$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.756139.3%24 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Grizzlies40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023048.3%111 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3b…c2dabacked Grizzlies67c22.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-43.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Grizzlies61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.285347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbe1…5677backed Grizzlies67c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.46738.8%26 W · 41 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x03d7…8260backed Grizzlies62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba19…0f73backed Grizzlies62c18.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.776350.8%32 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafb0…fe46backed Grizzlies62c18.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x728c…fe92backed Grizzlies66c15.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02c2…5170backed Grizzlies64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.