TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Chargers vs. Browns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chargersof Chargers, Browns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,458
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,307

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,458 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e80…59e8backed Browns48c40,000$19,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,2002937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Chargers52c32,822$17,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,678.2812051.7%62 W · 58 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1092…e5ddbacked Chargers55c6,654$3,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,992.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Browns5c4,805$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.4533328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Chargers72c4,799$3,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.7414457.6%83 W · 61 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Chargers54c4,715$2,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,161.3432438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Chargers52c4,329$2,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,087.2144246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Browns48c2,760$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.4536246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Browns24c2,682$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.6116259.9%97 W · 65 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Browns45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.895925.4%15 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Browns9c2,172$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7621713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Chargers53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94014750.3%74 W · 73 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Browns47c1,777$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.2216036.3%58 W · 102 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Browns47c1,546$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.8413942.4%59 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Browns36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008035%28 W · 52 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Browns44c1,328$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.7422638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Chargers55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.230446.7%142 W · 162 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd86…36b3backed Browns45c999.98$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.993920.5%8 W · 31 L-6.8wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb8b4…e0febacked Browns35c928.86$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.12441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Chargers55c892.73$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.736333.3%21 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Browns47c865$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.5527339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aa3…f82dbacked Chargers53c750$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.52429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e9…2758backed Chargers53c728$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.166071.7%43 W · 17 L+11.4wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+42.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Browns46c584.17$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.723411.8%4 W · 30 L-8.1wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-69.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xb0e3…542ebacked Browns48c505$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…6af8backed Chargers54c500.64$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.412570.4%88 W · 37 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x269c…2829backed Chargers54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2301100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e71…a426backed Chargers53c445.28$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Chargers53c426$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.2219864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Browns47c420.43$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.614022.9%32 W · 108 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Chargers55c413.18$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.9333047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4030…1f3ebacked Browns49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Chargers53c402.1$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.9927835.3%98 W · 180 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd94…0b01backed Browns45c399.96$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9816139.1%63 W · 98 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed Chargers52c387.27$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.893551.4%18 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Chargers71c296.6$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.662875%21 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf183…979cbacked Chargers74c287.62$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.24933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-47.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dcb…8f77backed Chargers54c283.67$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.49837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+118.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3832…35e1backed Chargers54c279.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2416451.2%84 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5a…d092backed Chargers55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.732100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0870…e7bebacked Chargers54c264.81$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.81475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ebf…05babacked Browns48c250.64$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Chargers55c250$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.520246%93 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Browns31c249.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.614139%55 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Browns5c240$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d6…60d3backed Chargers54c239.35$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.35475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8a5…3b86backed Browns49c223.27$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Browns45c218.15$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8639242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa4…50ccbacked Browns47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-62.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa846…125abacked Chargers52c209$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x422a…cf33backed Browns48c209$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3add…a76dbacked Browns49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Chargers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9029356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed Browns30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8369…3c94backed Chargers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Chargers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947844.9%35 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7701…24e6backed Browns46c199.98$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9916845.8%77 W · 91 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8140…b92fbacked Chargers55c199.83$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.834839.6%19 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb664…8669backed Browns48c197.87$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.98933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2376…30f5backed Chargers55c181.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8810452.9%55 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a0e…433dbacked Chargers55c161$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.455766.7%38 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b93…9848backed Browns49c152.8$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.87425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-62.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc465…fcfbbacked Chargers53c150.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9420758%120 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e9a…6250backed Browns47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedd5…63a1backed Browns49c142.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7015858.9%93 W · 65 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab59…ea9abacked Chargers53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.43351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b94…8183backed Browns49c119.18$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.163268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x950b…ff5fbacked Browns49c114.03$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.82250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e8c…1272backed Chargers52c108.32$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0165…b7c5backed Chargers53c105$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Chargers59c101.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6612760.6%77 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Browns47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4738459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Chargers55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4513655.9%76 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd821…5365backed Chargers52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c64…1d7abacked Browns48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bd7…c1f3backed Browns46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610052%52 W · 48 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Browns49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498960.7%54 W · 35 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Chargers55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4513051.5%67 W · 63 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x486c…3d03backed Chargers51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494951%25 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06a2…0acbbacked Chargers51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9928433.1%94 W · 190 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid+30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47ab…95dfbacked Chargers53c99.98$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9918051.7%93 W · 87 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb6c…b425backed Browns48c99.97$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceea…8c07backed Chargers53c94.85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.899645.8%44 W · 52 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62b0…029ebacked Chargers55c91.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.451369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+46.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4975…c492backed Chargers55c91.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.533661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d19…3afcbacked Browns49c84.24$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18cb…7364backed Chargers73c81.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.651050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0190…4778backed Browns48c80.46$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x484f…0075backed Chargers55c80.44$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.44875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+47.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd2e…f342backed Browns49c72.93$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddfb…c994backed Browns49c71.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352560%15 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8405…62a1backed Browns49c69.59$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.09250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2881…2ad5backed Chargers54c68$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+35.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c25…7fa8backed Browns47c64.81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba19…0f73backed Browns47c64.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.281926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-48.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1be…19b7backed Chargers55c63.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.64933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f54…dc11backed Browns48c63.59$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c79…97b4backed Chargers54c61.55$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…79bebacked Browns49c61.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2489…b2d5backed Browns49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.