TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Nuggets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Nuggets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,224
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,724

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,224 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Nuggets62c12,712$7,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,926.2647656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95cc…7f08backed Clippers39c8,699$3,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,343.222564%16 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+51.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Clippers55c8,189$4,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,673.0570147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Nuggets67c7,239$4,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,882.788046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Clippers27c7,062$1,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,185.2646.3%4 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1eb…7afebacked Nuggets71c5,994$4,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,232.226547.7%31 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Nuggets51c5,823$2,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,951.9561532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcef8…1f8dbacked Clippers15c3,400$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8965714%8 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Clippers46c3,000$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6101,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5be6…64f9backed Clippers67c2,861$1,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.755100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+66.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc98a…2a0cbacked Clippers46c2,728$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.282040%8 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde6a…596fbacked Nuggets76c2,688$2,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,043.251361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Clippers47c2,499$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.510058%58 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x892d…89a0backed Nuggets50c2,089$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.15616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-67.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Nuggets61c1,982$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.7565642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fa3…dc66backed Clippers26c1,600$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1846943.5%30 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Clippers33c1,506$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.525939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Clippers25c1,503$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.8416242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4258…b969backed Clippers46c1,200$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6542240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Clippers43c1,157$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.436247.2%171 W · 191 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8767…a37fbacked Nuggets48c1,034$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4991618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.27per pick45cpaid-56.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xfcc0…021dbacked Nuggets77c1,026$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.92933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Clippers27c1,000$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7301,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8c6…9211backed Nuggets73c998.92$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.2314847.3%70 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7569…79ebbacked Nuggets44c870$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.41723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7cc…4952backed Nuggets53c816.67$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.67560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe424…8874backed Clippers59c610.86$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.17666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Nuggets44c520.11$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.351,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Nuggets67c519.25$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.2536057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb14…a884backed Nuggets63c504.99$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Clippers49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25514233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4012…a72dbacked Nuggets76c418.95$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Clippers19c413.6$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.1410462.5%65 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Nuggets74c399.99$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.9912247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a6…ee95backed Clippers17c335.91$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.544729.8%14 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked Nuggets75c294$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.514852.7%78 W · 70 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Clippers22c288$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.121,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Nuggets58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508347%39 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7106…fb79backed Nuggets30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Nuggets20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020851.4%107 W · 101 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Nuggets64c250$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Clippers25c230$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.59248.9%45 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fc0…53ddbacked Clippers25c229.44$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.085457.4%31 W · 23 L+13.2wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+76.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Clippers23c225.84$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.5926547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c0…de1cbacked Clippers24c203.7$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.813441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc136…0c3bbacked Clippers30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c8…e7acbacked Clippers25c199.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.973652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c7…053ebacked Clippers22c199.89$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.913342.4%14 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0328…d834backed Clippers25c199.61$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.471020%2 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e29…4e95backed Clippers23c191.67$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.713751.4%19 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Nuggets46c189.08$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.416443.3%71 W · 93 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda9e…9ac7backed Clippers47c167.25$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcd7…5863backed Clippers57c158.16$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x242f…286ebacked Nuggets75c150$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.51442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadf3…2beabacked Nuggets53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.71911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed Nuggets77c150$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1166429.7%19 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b0…9da7backed Clippers36c139.13$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.355257.7%30 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47dc…eec9backed Nuggets75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005166.7%34 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x021c…b735backed Nuggets75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aec…6a86backed Nuggets38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8e…2bf2backed Nuggets78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3998…3318backed Nuggets78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39c…0498backed Nuggets79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013756.2%77 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x359f…eb89backed Clippers36c124.81$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.81560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+13.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0870…e7bebacked Nuggets79c124.05$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Clippers68c123.07$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.351776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x207a…6fecbacked Nuggets75c106.65$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.997149.3%35 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Clippers21c104.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7615149%74 W · 77 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5087…c157backed Clippers39c102.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.82742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Nuggets30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3077437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa44e…4d45backed Clippers56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.71361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccac…ab7dbacked Nuggets52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502536%9 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-31.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a09…335dbacked Clippers22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.914452.3%23 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…e0c9backed Clippers57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.728537.6%32 W · 53 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Clippers25c75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.252254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68d6…3fc8backed Nuggets76c75$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-53.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7439…40d2backed Clippers48c73.62$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6224844%109 W · 139 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9572…b5a0backed Nuggets56c65.69$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.795747.4%27 W · 30 L-7.6wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-22.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2ca8…cbd1backed Nuggets78c64.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3224…167ebacked Nuggets78c64.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9afe…76edbacked Nuggets78c64.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa90…2be3backed Clippers27c62.96$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.961060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50d2…0d35backed Clippers22c62.35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.516043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe680…8788backed Clippers25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick36cpaid+84.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc2fa…43adbacked Nuggets76c60$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.61560%9 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd123…4f07backed Nuggets70c54.72$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.360%0 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Nuggets74c54.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013969.1%96 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f95…8e86backed Nuggets66c53.95$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.846256.5%35 W · 27 L-8.6wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-23%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb2a0…3d33backed Nuggets60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0353…9741backed Nuggets20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Clippers25c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.527548.7%134 W · 141 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb20…a151backed Clippers22c49.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.984257.1%24 W · 18 L+7.0wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+70.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xb9bb…00c4backed Clippers22c49.66$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.74966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+84.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ed1…fa8dbacked Clippers31c48.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.02450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+53.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed Nuggets51c46.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.884850%24 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9b…0f44backed Clippers33c45.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.452369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a52…e373backed Clippers39c43.58$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.58742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf483…1becbacked Clippers47c41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.731546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ba2…18a5backed Clippers25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309130.8%28 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Clippers26c39.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5985347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.