NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Clippers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe9e60196e0eba2504bbe70472db6392f506a2b4a369fc5a0f6ddffa5f738078
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $690,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $785,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $690,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 671 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd31…4777backed Clippers | 32c | 45,789$14,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,878.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Thunder | 59c | 33,569$19,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,925.46 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Thunder | 57c | 30,929$17,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,323.04 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Clippers | 45c | 23,855$10,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,643.67 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd200…06b1backed Clippers | 41c | 22,812$9,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,447.13 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Clippers | 45c | 21,681$9,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,716.12 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Clippers | 43c | 18,085$7,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,707.88 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers | 63c | 16,808$10,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,578.07 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Thunder | 63c | 16,000$10,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,929.95 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Thunder | 39c | 15,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,100.05 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Clippers | 43c | 14,972$6,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,387.18 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000f…fa77backed Thunder | 56c | 14,002$7,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,167.05 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ead…cf47backed Clippers | 65c | 12,891$8,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,415.71 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Clippers | 43c | 12,473$5,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,311.95 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Thunder | 41c | 11,498$4,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,733.92 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Thunder | 55c | 10,929$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,929.09 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Clippers | 45c | 10,871$4,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,848.68 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Thunder | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.87 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Thunder | 55c | 9,685$5,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,360.47 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Thunder | 60c | 9,619$5,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840.31 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…2c7ebacked Thunder | 56c | 8,962$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,961.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Clippers | 52c | 8,348$4,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,306.82 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Clippers | 53c | 7,886$4,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,155.82 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Thunder | 55c | 7,336$4,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330.09 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder | 52c | 7,335$3,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,513.91 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Thunder | 73c | 6,765$4,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.95 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Clippers | 48c | 6,546$3,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,141.47 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…1977backed Clippers | 44c | 5,898$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Thunder | 61c | 5,601$3,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.52 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00db…80dabacked Thunder | 66c | 5,375$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.61 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Thunder | 49c | 5,102$2,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,608.19 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Clippers | 46c | 4,754$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.55 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Thunder | 48c | 4,546$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.29 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Clippers | 66c | 4,542$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Clippers | 43c | 4,425$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.8 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 56c | 3,891$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.17 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Clippers | 46c | 3,866$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.91 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Clippers | 48c | 3,700$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Thunder | 55c | 3,487$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.86 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…31a4backed Clippers | 35c | 3,478$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.11 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Thunder | 57c | 3,307$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.99 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Clippers | 45c | 3,140$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.69 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Clippers | 50c | 3,060$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.26 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Thunder | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Clippers | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.98 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Clippers | 46c | 2,901$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.45 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Thunder | 51c | 2,857$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.9 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Clippers | 23c | 2,850$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.81 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Clippers | 43c | 2,841$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.49 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Thunder | 52c | 2,718$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.17 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Clippers | 47c | 2,638$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.47 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x230c…46e8backed Clippers | 39c | 2,589$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Clippers | 44c | 2,466$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.45 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Thunder | 61c | 2,439$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.97 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Thunder | 54c | 2,258$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.15 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Clippers | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…43f6backed Thunder | 61c | 1,998$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.22 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Clippers | 41c | 1,997$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.87 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Clippers | 44c | 1,917$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.39 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Clippers | 32c | 1,845$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.41 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Clippers | 55c | 1,773$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.74 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Clippers | 44c | 1,680$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.2 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Clippers | 52c | 1,605$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.55 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b2…4874backed Thunder | 47c | 1,527$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.97 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Thunder | 37c | 1,519$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.74 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…ac82backed Clippers | 46c | 1,500$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Clippers | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd32…33c4backed Clippers | 41c | 1,457$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Thunder | 59c | 1,330$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Thunder | 55c | 1,300$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Clippers | 43c | 1,300$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,285$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.66 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Clippers | 44c | 1,244$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.5 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Clippers | 35c | 1,200$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.3 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Thunder | 55c | 1,183$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.52 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf60a…e5ffbacked Thunder | 68c | 1,144$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Clippers | 45c | 1,114$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Thunder | 57c | 1,114$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.13 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Clippers | 45c | 1,114$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.36 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,088$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.7 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Thunder | 38c | 1,049$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.6 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Thunder | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Thunder | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Thunder | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Thunder | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Clippers | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Clippers | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Thunder | 50c | 991.05$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.15 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…1921backed Thunder | 51c | 989.96$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Thunder | 52c | 961.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.62 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Thunder | 57c | 953$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.2 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Clippers | 42c | 951.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Clippers | 41c | 917.27$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.51 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Thunder | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Thunder | 59c | 853.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.4 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…1134backed Clippers | 42c | 833.05$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Thunder | 60c | 722$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.08 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Clippers | 42c | 720.36$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Clippers | 46c | 712.9$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.62 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330a…438cbacked Thunder | 57c | 711.21$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.