TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Cowboys vs. Falcons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Falconsof Cowboys, Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,429
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,906

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,429 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94dc…c779backed Cowboys43c21,600$9,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,187.297853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2093…6d4dbacked Falcons62c10,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,800887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Cowboys38c8,085$3,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,041.5612827.3%35 W · 93 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Falcons62c5,362$3,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,037.398856.8%50 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe091…9549backed Cowboys38c5,263$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Falcons58c4,346$2,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.5512051.7%62 W · 58 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Cowboys3c3,570$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4133328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Cowboys37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.9732438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b95…136fbacked Falcons63c2,811$1,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.231553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Cowboys38c2,631$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.785925.4%15 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb228…2734backed Falcons75c2,500$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Falcons62c2,358$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.3118645.7%85 W · 101 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Falcons58c2,292$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.8844246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Falcons61c1,939$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.3436246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Cowboys15c1,670$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.8421713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Falcons58c1,611$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.7728556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e71…3838backed Cowboys21c1,379$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.445038%19 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a1b…7b38backed Cowboys40c1,097$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.87757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+35.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Cowboys33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-50.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Falcons61c909.03$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.5216036.3%58 W · 102 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2796…4562backed Cowboys7c776.86$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Falcons63c600$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22213040%52 W · 78 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Falcons60c599.98$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.6239242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Cowboys29c545.95$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2614457.6%83 W · 61 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Falcons63c544.44$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.446333.3%21 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56a6…56f4backed Cowboys18c541.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004436.4%16 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Falcons63c541$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.1719864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd94…0b01backed Cowboys43c449.98$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.4916139.1%63 W · 98 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bfc…fe00backed Falcons63c445.16$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.71812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick39cpaid-80.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3f9…2aa8backed Cowboys8c444.53$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.129059.7%173 W · 117 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Cowboys38c413.43$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.7113942.4%59 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0627…1ecabacked Falcons63c412.7$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.71566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4eb0…97d5backed Cowboys15c395.66$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ab…d180backed Cowboys38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick41cpaid-78.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xceea…8c07backed Falcons57c370$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.19645.8%44 W · 52 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75e0…fe50backed Falcons71c348.29$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8310960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6434…cdbebacked Cowboys27c340$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.95429.6%16 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe897…513ebacked Falcons62c323$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.746354%34 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Falcons65c306.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.323351.9%121 W · 112 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…367bbacked Falcons63c302.59$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d0…034abacked Falcons63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1111723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-56.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdfd6…9bb8backed Cowboys39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1172166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8a4…75c1backed Falcons70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7118658.1%108 W · 78 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ec…bbcabacked Falcons63c274.52$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecf8…494ebacked Cowboys39c274.49$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.05666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…4dd1backed Falcons57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd9…5fb2backed Cowboys38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Cowboys37c250$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.538459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3d6…60d3backed Cowboys44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked Falcons63c239.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3818650.5%94 W · 92 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7173…7d75backed Cowboys37c218.59$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.392941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Falcons64c206.94$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.51758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc465…fcfbbacked Cowboys39c202.64$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020758%120 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Cowboys29c201.69$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4920246%93 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Falcons63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7429356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cab…6817backed Cowboys40c200$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7912240.2%49 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47fa…4bbebacked Falcons64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Falcons60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807844.9%35 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Cowboys43c199.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9924160.6%146 W · 95 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Cowboys38c194.92$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0720736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Cowboys17c190.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325014%7 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-71.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Falcons62c189.35$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9533047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e9…2758backed Falcons63c185.78$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.746071.7%43 W · 17 L+11.4wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+42.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Cowboys38c184.33$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9322638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf183…979cbacked Cowboys39c182.77$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.89933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-47.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8140…b92fbacked Falcons62c170.28$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.284839.6%19 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2376…30f5backed Falcons63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7310452.9%55 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed Falcons63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7322745.4%103 W · 124 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1361…822ebacked Falcons63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.732556%14 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bd7…c1f3backed Cowboys44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610052%52 W · 48 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3d45…604dbacked Falcons63c143.59$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.13955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca75…6433backed Cowboys38c143.53$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.54850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Cowboys35c143.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0716259.9%97 W · 65 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Falcons63c142.86$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8613260.6%80 W · 52 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fea…449fbacked Falcons63c142.59$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.76875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cb8…61c9backed Falcons63c142.59$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.76580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+39.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f44…01fcbacked Cowboys38c142.55$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.171060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x571f…a174backed Cowboys38c142.25$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.17728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-45.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7487…6f2dbacked Falcons63c141.6$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.39742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb85e…35a4backed Falcons63c141.6$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.39616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-73.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc893…e3eebacked Cowboys38c141.55$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.791040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa6…ee18backed Cowboys38c141.55$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.79757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a0e…433dbacked Falcons63c141$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.175766.7%38 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab8a…681abacked Cowboys38c139.13$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.873250%16 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Cowboys39c128.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506518.5%12 W · 53 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-50.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x83b8…d1fbbacked Cowboys31c128.58$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.861163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick38cpaid+39.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6f9…4252backed Cowboys37c124.7$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.737651.3%39 W · 37 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6678…d4b6backed Cowboys42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018144.8%81 W · 100 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe88e…a7d4backed Cowboys17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208349.4%41 W · 42 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Falcons56c116.07$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0719564.6%126 W · 69 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Cowboys41c111.74$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.653351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedd5…63a1backed Falcons63c111.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1115858.9%93 W · 65 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac29…fa88backed Cowboys45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028659.4%170 W · 116 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d5…53f7backed Falcons62c110$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+63.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a6…ee95backed Cowboys10c102.11$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.323033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…d68fbacked Falcons64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367467.6%50 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2026…9aafbacked Cowboys22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-42.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47ab…95dfbacked Falcons61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3918051.7%93 W · 87 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5db3…1773backed Falcons55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Cowboys39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.