NBA · resolved market
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x782c06601c3b7e95b28bef1c2c690c679e5b55bf4383bac71a1d3682e485df0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,607,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,041,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,607,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb559…b605backed Yes | 7c | 54,000$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,996 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66e…ef9dbacked Yes | 6c | 53,000$2,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,968 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac1…54b2backed Yes | 6c | 53,000$3,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,021 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d61…9cabbacked Yes | 6c | 53,000$3,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,074 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…5e5cbacked Yes | 6c | 53,000$3,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,286 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9918…e611backed Yes | 4c | 52,000$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2446…3deabacked Yes | 4c | 52,000$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe225…fdc2backed Yes | 5c | 52,000$2,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,704 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…7447backed Yes | 4c | 52,000$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x632c…aad3backed Yes | 4c | 52,000$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb6…c843backed Yes | 3c | 51,000$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba07…b3e4backed Yes | 2c | 51,000$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a74…79dfbacked Yes | 2c | 50,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed Yes | 4c | 30,796$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.01 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked Yes | 4c | 30,496$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.32 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d1…a24ebacked Yes | 1c | 25,630$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.92 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +302%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 4c | 21,696$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.96 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 2c | 13,441$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.18 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 4c | 12,967$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.85 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Yes | 2c | 10,003$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.07 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 9,877$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 155 | 0%0 W · 155 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddc…9e4fbacked Yes | 2c | 9,747$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 2c | 9,400$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.07 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 6c | 7,023$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.72 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…aca2backed Yes | 1c | 6,610$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +181.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2efb…80e1backed Yes | 2c | 6,116$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 7c | 5,064$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.45 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…045fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Yes | 6c | 4,328$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.19 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x719b…c995backed Yes | 5c | 3,385$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 4c | 3,377$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.09 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,669$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 213 | 0.5%1 W · 212 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Yes | 6c | 2,646$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.61 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,582$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.37 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…27e6backed Yes | 4c | 2,001$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.05 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.01 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +300.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes | 1c | 1,976$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…316dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,911$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.67 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf46…9c5dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,770$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…0bd5backed Yes | 2c | 1,721$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf422…d852backed Yes | 6c | 1,690$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 8c | 1,666$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.62 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 6c | 1,605$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb943…f6dbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5e…2c5dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e4…517abacked Yes | 7c | 1,456$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 6c | 1,394$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.07 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 3c | 1,386$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Yes | 3c | 1,245$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 2c | 1,171$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 79 | 5.1%4 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 1c | 1,149$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…5648backed Yes | 9c | 1,125$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…b343backed Yes | 2c | 1,100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb08…1e22backed Yes | 8c | 1,010$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83f…aba2backed Yes | 8c | 1,009$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…a1abbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddab…ec42backed Yes | 2c | 861.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x485d…1623backed Yes | 7c | 825.23$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 2c | 778.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…f40abacked Yes | 1c | 707.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d0…4e7dbacked Yes | 5c | 700$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccac…ab7dbacked Yes | 3c | 694.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11c0…ae50backed Yes | 8c | 640.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…26a6backed Yes | 9c | 506$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 6c | 500$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 102 | 26.5%27 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e57…55b7backed Yes | 3c | 480$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14aa…a348backed Yes | 6c | 459.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…8ef1backed Yes | 6c | 449.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 7c | 449.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 58 | 6.9%4 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…133cbacked Yes | 5c | 438.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3379…dcf6backed Yes | 3c | 433.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc280…de71backed Yes | 5c | 415.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2637…15b3backed Yes | 2c | 411.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 3c | 368.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…f677backed Yes | 3c | 363.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa88c…b990backed Yes | 7c | 357.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae0…13cfbacked Yes | 4c | 353$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…bd14backed Yes | 7c | 348.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Yes | 4c | 340$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c90…5495backed Yes | 11c | 318.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…1b1cbacked Yes | 6c | 312.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…a9a9backed Yes | 4c | 309$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 7c | 304.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…14e5backed Yes | 5c | 298.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…95ccbacked Yes | 4c | 292.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98f…7384backed Yes | 6c | 250$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46c8…d9cabacked Yes | 8c | 242.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…757abacked Yes | 5c | 234.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +178%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51cb…6314backed Yes | 11c | 219.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb14…f690backed Yes | 7c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3c…6249backed Yes | 8c | 185.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…d695backed Yes | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…94ccbacked Yes | 8c | 121.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2f…36f2backed Yes | 8c | 121.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…5f32backed Yes | 8c | 121.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x795b…d60ebacked Yes | 8c | 121.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…baccbacked Yes | 9c | 111.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?Yes won
- Will the Miami Heat win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards win the Eastern Conference?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.