NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fe4fe9f58f5cb4ec9c8a49a93a004a620de7565bc41c326f433578706d53fc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,025,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,096,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,025,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 488 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Hawks | 48c | 61,154$29,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,153.92 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Hawks | 49c | 60,000$29,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,599.9 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hawks | 51c | 46,693$23,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,935.72 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Heat | 52c | 43,632$22,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,943.56 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Heat | 78c | 40,500$31,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,071.47 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Heat | 52c | 36,897$19,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,706.4 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Hawks | 49c | 36,514$17,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,731.55 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Heat | 50c | 32,755$16,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,335.61 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Hawks | 30c | 31,455$9,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,494.35 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Hawks | 75c | 24,131$17,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,998.54 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Heat | 56c | 19,675$10,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,743.53 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks | 22c | 19,359$4,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,238.68 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Heat | 60c | 17,879$10,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,088.88 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Heat | 53c | 16,879$8,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,016.99 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Hawks | 50c | 15,409$7,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,775.91 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hawks | 30c | 14,334$4,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,323.34 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Heat | 61c | 12,311$7,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,807.73 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Heat | 50c | 12,287$6,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,087.77 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Heat | 52c | 12,272$6,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900.14 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Hawks | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Heat | 69c | 10,987$7,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,443.96 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Hawks | 42c | 10,849$4,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,606.74 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Hawks | 49c | 10,249$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…730dbacked Hawks | 50c | 10,063$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7338backed Hawks | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Heat | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…b575backed Heat | 48c | 9,980$4,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,189.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Heat | 52c | 9,572$4,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,622.99 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Heat | 54c | 9,270$5,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,264.15 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Heat | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…c0e6backed Heat | 74c | 7,961$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.63 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Heat | 51c | 7,832$3,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,837.54 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Heat | 51c | 7,618$3,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,732.64 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Hawks | 49c | 7,323$3,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,588.21 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Heat | 71c | 7,255$5,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.22 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Heat | 59c | 7,185$4,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,962.45 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Heat | 53c | 7,000$3,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,270 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Hawks | 23c | 6,923$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.05 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Heat | 53c | 6,897$3,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,274.8 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Heat | 64c | 6,534$4,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,372.07 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Hawks | 21c | 6,131$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.79 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Heat | 52c | 6,106$3,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933.76 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Heat | 51c | 5,408$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,643.4 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Heat | 50c | 5,297$2,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,648.53 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Heat | 38c | 5,098$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180.5 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hawks | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Hawks | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Hawks | 31c | 4,843$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.11 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hawks | 24c | 4,696$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.77 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Hawks | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hawks | 38c | 4,000$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Heat | 65c | 3,970$2,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.64 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Hawks | 43c | 3,870$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.73 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Heat | 66c | 3,823$2,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.95 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee63…07a4backed Hawks | 28c | 3,601$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Heat | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Hawks | 21c | 3,283$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.11 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b3…2e9dbacked Hawks | 46c | 3,258$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Hawks | 29c | 3,163$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.08 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x297e…0bf9backed Heat | 49c | 3,040$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.41 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc532…3b9dbacked Hawks | 51c | 3,040$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Hawks | 19c | 3,020$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.36 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Heat | 54c | 3,003$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.53 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Hawks | 20c | 2,700$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Hawks | 40c | 2,442$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.86 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Hawks | 23c | 2,428$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.37 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Hawks | 17c | 2,300$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Hawks | 27c | 2,287$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.38 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Hawks | 32c | 2,150$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.49 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Hawks | 1c | 2,085$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked Heat | 52c | 2,013$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.73 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bb…fc2abacked Heat | 51c | 2,002$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.87 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a0…f8aabacked Heat | 50c | 2,001$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Heat | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.98 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Hawks | 28c | 1,998$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.1 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Heat | 75c | 1,998$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.74 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Heat | 49c | 1,984$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.2 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb571…effdbacked Heat | 49c | 1,914$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Heat | 79c | 1,760$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.2 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Heat | 51c | 1,750$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.5 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Hawks | 53c | 1,737$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.96 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Heat | 57c | 1,713$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.38 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Hawks | 52c | 1,701$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.52 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…725abacked Hawks | 1c | 1,683$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…5684backed Heat | 80c | 1,625$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.3 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Heat | 50c | 1,618$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.95 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Hawks | 1c | 1,505$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Heat | 68c | 1,500$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Heat | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…1502backed Hawks | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 71c | 1,497$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.47 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Hawks | 16c | 1,443$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.54 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Hawks | 1c | 1,400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Hawks | 51c | 1,340$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.32 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Hawks | 26c | 1,264$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.64 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Hawks | 48c | 1,246$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.1 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2392…0d4bbacked Hawks | 8c | 1,199$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Hawks | 17c | 1,170$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.53 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Hawks | 49c | 1,160$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.35 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Hawks | 43c | 1,149$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.21 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.