MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Mets Series Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x355ca6f99395963c8d7282349392fd4b6b40745ca73c3169cd55432dc50abd09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Dodgers, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf22c…9050backed Mets | 6c | 3,500$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Mets | 30c | 2,272$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.44 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Dodgers | 67c | 2,146$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.52 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Mets | 30c | 1,843$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.31 | 103 | 28.2%29 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Mets | 24c | 1,328$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe804…f706backed Dodgers | 80c | 1,220$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50b…c935backed Mets | 20c | 1,220$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6151…2e90backed Dodgers | 80c | 1,220$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b33…0bbbbacked Mets | 20c | 1,220$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Mets | 9c | 943.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc31c…7830backed Dodgers | 76c | 874.19$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb626…e748backed Dodgers | 59c | 844.66$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.31 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78c6…2accbacked Mets | 20c | 620$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7d…fadfbacked Dodgers | 80c | 620$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8e…d47abacked Dodgers | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Mets | 41c | 580$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.3 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mets | 3c | 559.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mets | 21c | 532.82$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.89 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Mets | 30c | 510.97$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.29 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…db84backed Dodgers | 70c | 510.97$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +165.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Dodgers | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Mets | 20c | 397.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b8…1f22backed Mets | 19c | 315.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…51c4backed Mets | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Mets | 8c | 228.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…4236backed Mets | 23c | 225$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…286ebacked Dodgers | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Mets | 13c | 197.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…1aa4backed Mets | 30c | 182.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers | 66c | 181.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Mets | 19c | 177.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.34per pick | 42cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1a…efe7backed Dodgers | 70c | 161.56$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Mets | 22c | 155$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0121backed Dodgers | 76c | 137.47$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fea…8f7bbacked Dodgers | 76c | 124.49$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…3fc6backed Mets | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d56…d62ebacked Mets | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…059abacked Dodgers | 58c | 99.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Dodgers | 60c | 87.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5c…1f98backed Dodgers | 62c | 72.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d0…b6abbacked Mets | 27c | 66.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Dodgers | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43bc…9880backed Mets | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa12f…fcc9backed Dodgers | 59c | 62.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddcf…d49ebacked Dodgers | 59c | 60.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x670e…b32dbacked Mets | 37c | 53.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e2ebbacked Mets | 38c | 53.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…a526backed Dodgers | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…4464backed Dodgers | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Mets | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ab…2c73backed Dodgers | 61c | 49.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62c1…79f5backed Dodgers | 77c | 46.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…9cf9backed Dodgers | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041c…88c5backed Dodgers | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccac…ab7dbacked Dodgers | 59c | 38.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Mets | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…9956backed Dodgers | 80c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…af52backed Dodgers | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5353…b029backed Dodgers | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b67…03e4backed Mets | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0e…bf6bbacked Mets | 42c | 28.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce4c…a1fcbacked Mets | 44c | 27.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fea…15d4backed Dodgers | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…0446backed Mets | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57c…9b2bbacked Dodgers | 76c | 22.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…04e5backed Dodgers | 77c | 22.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f19…3aedbacked Dodgers | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…95a2backed Dodgers | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4102…9edcbacked Dodgers | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2310…8537backed Dodgers | 75c | 14.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.