NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa63b995890e04156321e29cd4a9ca4973bc766bad3e2dbab447ce07ea5f21197
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Knicks, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Rockets | 63c | 6,810$4,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491.36 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Rockets | 43c | 3,011$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.53 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Knicks | 43c | 2,429$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.73 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Rockets | 44c | 2,121$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.37 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Knicks | 28c | 1,820$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.64 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…dd68backed Knicks | 15c | 1,736$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Knicks | 28c | 1,429$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Knicks | 37c | 1,217$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.11 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Knicks | 56c | 1,056$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.73 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Knicks | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Knicks | 58c | 997.58$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.6 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Rockets | 43c | 838.73$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.08 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Knicks | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Knicks | 32c | 400$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Knicks | 40c | 340.83$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.33 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Knicks | 29c | 340.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Rockets | 40c | 335.42$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.43 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead7…efedbacked Knicks | 26c | 334.9$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rockets | 45c | 313.6$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.48 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…3c94backed Rockets | 63c | 296.05$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.05 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Rockets | 55c | 229.89$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.45 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Rockets | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed Knicks | 45c | 222.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 36.2%88 W · 155 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fd…7e92backed Knicks | 57c | 206.81$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.88 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.43per pick | 53cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x18cb…7364backed Knicks | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Rockets | 44c | 176$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f8…e156backed Knicks | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Knicks | 33c | 175$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Knicks | 38c | 166$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.53 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…b949backed Knicks | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ce…4711backed Rockets | 41c | 156.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Knicks | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…ccb1backed Knicks | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4965…176fbacked Rockets | 64c | 147.47$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33be…c239backed Rockets | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c3…9376backed Knicks | 50c | 116.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…be38backed Knicks | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca69…fd01backed Rockets | 73c | 113.14$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…823ebacked Knicks | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafc9…97acbacked Rockets | 43c | 102.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked Knicks | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Knicks | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Rockets | 43c | 99.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…b023backed Knicks | 42c | 89.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe4…c32fbacked Knicks | 57c | 71.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa357…d47cbacked Knicks | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Rockets | 39c | 69.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…1cc5backed Rockets | 46c | 67.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…3216backed Knicks | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Rockets | 38c | 58.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Rockets | 43c | 57.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Knicks | 22c | 55.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Rockets | 39c | 55.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…0544backed Rockets | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccac…ab7dbacked Knicks | 51c | 49.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba19…0f73backed Rockets | 44c | 45.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Knicks | 53c | 44.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff8b…2022backed Rockets | 44c | 39.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9b…277dbacked Knicks | 57c | 38.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Knicks | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf422…5753backed Knicks | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Knicks | 42c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x065f…ab50backed Knicks | 43c | 32.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Knicks | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4995…a047backed Knicks | 57c | 30.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b57…5866backed Rockets | 44c | 26.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…d306backed Rockets | 44c | 26.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0be…8907backed Rockets | 44c | 25.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b8…5cb0backed Rockets | 44c | 24.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d3…5e84backed Rockets | 44c | 24.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f36…fbfbbacked Knicks | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf0…6c1abacked Knicks | 60c | 21.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…1574backed Knicks | 57c | 20.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb348…4da9backed Knicks | 57c | 20.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Knicks | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafcb…0174backed Knicks | 57c | 19.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…c27dbacked Knicks | 57c | 19.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c1…7f44backed Knicks | 57c | 19.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb70…6d9abacked Knicks | 57c | 18.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.