Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0c6d489a1b98413168f333afe14a0d278f0114ef829f9e36fd8db3670d5568b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Yes | 42c | 18,876$7,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,038.8 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b03…e8afbacked Yes | 40c | 13,800$5,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,328.31 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 9cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 41c | 11,031$4,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,481.73 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 1c | 7,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 1c | 7,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 42c | 6,591$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,831.82 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…fdbcbacked Yes | 43c | 4,933$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,805.46 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 58c | 4,141$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,416.6 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…705bbacked Yes | 40c | 3,000$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ea…d556backed Yes | 44c | 2,610$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.81 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb118…8d34backed Yes | 44c | 2,376$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 43c | 2,234$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.17 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…daf5backed Yes | 41c | 2,200$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 41c | 2,017$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.83 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 43c | 2,000$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 40c | 1,626$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.87 | 199 | 31.7%63 W · 136 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed Yes | 46c | 1,420$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.36 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 40c | 1,387$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.82 | 128 | 20.3%26 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcee…bda5backed Yes | 46c | 1,342$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.33 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6547…8043backed Yes | 39c | 1,260$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…c149backed Yes | 46c | 1,181$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.74 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +208.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…1531backed No | 59c | 1,150$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.77 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 43c | 1,051$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.63 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…56d0backed Yes | 44c | 1,011$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.41 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 41c | 1,010$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.23 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1537…c480backed Yes | 42c | 923.52$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf650…1c51backed Yes | 39c | 838.99$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6147…d34ebacked Yes | 41c | 800$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.2 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Yes | 43c | 776.97$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 40c | 751.25$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 41c | 718.18$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.7 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 57c | 653.62$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.87 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 58c | 582.1$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.72 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…df41backed Yes | 44c | 554$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f1…bc37backed No | 57c | 548.35$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a3…a0aabacked No | 57c | 439.95$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f3…4c06backed Yes | 45c | 421.43$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed No | 59c | 420$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.94 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 42c | 388.18$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.66 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…3738backed Yes | 49c | 358.37$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed Yes | 39c | 343$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.8 | 67 | 7.5%5 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…4651backed Yes | 39c | 340$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.1 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…0cf5backed Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…3b70backed Yes | 43c | 279.07$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab25…0806backed No | 60c | 270.22$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a3…67e3backed Yes | 40c | 270$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 47c | 265$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.85 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbea…e2b0backed Yes | 38c | 260.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x264d…6f2bbacked Yes | 44c | 254.49$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.49 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Yes | 44c | 239.44$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 39c | 230$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.3 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes | 47c | 227$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 58c | 206.85$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.8 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b63…4b44backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed No | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928f…045abacked Yes | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 61c | 168$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.66 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd0…9812backed Yes | 48c | 156.22$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…715fbacked No | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x541c…c462backed Yes | 43c | 150$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 41c | 128.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1b…9a2dbacked Yes | 39c | 127.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 43c | 126.22$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…e2b1backed Yes | 45c | 122.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…6af3backed Yes | 42c | 120.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 42c | 119.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 42c | 117.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed Yes | 47c | 106.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 58c | 102$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 64c | 101$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6864…294bbacked No | 58c | 101$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f7…1c49backed No | 55c | 100.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63b4…7e30backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d3…4356backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…2220backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc924…567abacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3aa…bddcbacked No | 61c | 89.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed No | 58c | 83.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a4…52b5backed Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…9dcabacked Yes | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a8…84f5backed Yes | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057d…6eddbacked Yes | 41c | 75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94db…55f5backed Yes | 44c | 73.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…67ccbacked No | 56c | 71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccac…ab7dbacked No | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d8…38f7backed Yes | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…6727backed No | 56c | 68.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc793…9fccbacked Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…afb0backed Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 90 | 24.4%22 W · 68 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff94…c347backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ff…39b9backed No | 60c | 44.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c59…ae3fbacked No | 58c | 42.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in August?this page
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or less in August?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in August?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in August?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.