Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83d4c41e3e1f630e916a9108aebbc10d4b05d31f2f0333e5aa0cc0611389920e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Yes | 36c | 25,159$9,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,007.55 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 33c | 15,556$5,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,167.83 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b03…e8afbacked Yes | 40c | 15,000$5,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,943.52 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed No | 62c | 9,964$6,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,816.9 | 128 | 20.3%26 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 36c | 8,931$3,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,203.44 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x404f…561dbacked Yes | 38c | 7,258$2,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -54%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 61c | 7,224$4,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795.33 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…fdbcbacked Yes | 32c | 5,711$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.11 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 61c | 5,503$3,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.41 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3962…7c83backed Yes | 40c | 4,500$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…705bbacked Yes | 37c | 4,100$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 64c | 3,655$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.28 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…1531backed No | 64c | 3,554$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27c4…a6bebacked Yes | 38c | 2,604$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed Yes | 32c | 2,509$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x401a…d730backed Yes | 34c | 2,397$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…daf5backed Yes | 35c | 2,285$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.2 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6547…8043backed Yes | 41c | 2,120$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.7 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ea…d556backed Yes | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 37c | 2,000$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738 | 199 | 31.7%63 W · 136 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb118…8d34backed Yes | 37c | 1,675$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…19dcbacked Yes | 31c | 1,504$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed Yes | 35c | 1,412$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.41 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…5449backed Yes | 40c | 1,262$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked No | 67c | 1,260$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.4 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…a632backed Yes | 34c | 1,220$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf650…1c51backed Yes | 36c | 1,168$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.48 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 67c | 992$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.36 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…56d0backed Yes | 40c | 927.37$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.43 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 67c | 919$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.64 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6147…d34ebacked Yes | 35c | 800$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 36c | 637.9$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.94 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 62c | 596.49$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.2 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 37c | 589$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cae…aa17backed Yes | 36c | 565.44$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 33c | 555$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.9 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…4651backed Yes | 40c | 510$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.3 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Yes | 30c | 502.73$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.82 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 65c | 436.44$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…3b70backed Yes | 32c | 412.5$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 36c | 376$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.16 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…4f8bbacked Yes | 34c | 340.14$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06bc…2887backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…afb0backed Yes | 37c | 322.5$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 90 | 24.4%22 W · 68 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f3…4c06backed Yes | 36c | 305.72$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 37c | 302.68$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.75 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed No | 63c | 301.04$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…0cf5backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.65 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6864…294bbacked Yes | 29c | 300$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…3727backed Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 291.54$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 36c | 290.29$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aee…54f4backed Yes | 37c | 273.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0a…db49backed Yes | 38c | 270$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdb…bc90backed Yes | 38c | 263.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c9…bc00backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Yes | 37c | 234.91$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Yes | 40c | 234.85$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928f…045abacked Yes | 36c | 200.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b63…4b44backed Yes | 41c | 200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…c88dbacked No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16a1…24f8backed Yes | 35c | 196.82$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed No | 63c | 158.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x339f…e806backed Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d3…634fbacked Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b43…53a3backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked Yes | 35c | 135$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…e03abacked Yes | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…2220backed No | 61c | 117.49$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 36c | 117$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Yes | 33c | 111.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…be4ebacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63b4…7e30backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…1c37backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d8…38f7backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed Yes | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dda…a444backed Yes | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd6…4ab1backed Yes | 37c | 92.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 63c | 92.12$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…67ccbacked Yes | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3aa…bddcbacked No | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…35e5backed Yes | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a8…84f5backed Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…a9cdbacked Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057d…6eddbacked Yes | 37c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…b071backed Yes | 33c | 74.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e54…5f61backed Yes | 41c | 69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…ea70backed Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd31f…094cbacked Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…fb44backed Yes | 40c | 60.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 42c | 59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in August?this page
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or less in August?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in August?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in August?Yes won
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.