College Football · resolved market
Will USC beat Wisconsin?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x882eb59102be881b87cdc40da707515d30ace8044cbb2e4364eaea5578d6625e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- USCof USC, Wisconsin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Wisconsin | 46c | 2,358$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.83 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed USC | 48c | 1,991$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.9 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc125…15fcbacked Wisconsin | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Wisconsin | 15c | 420$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Wisconsin | 63c | 264.98$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.74 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd34…3c7abacked Wisconsin | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed Wisconsin | 16c | 249.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…f0c3backed Wisconsin | 44c | 229.8$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…c62cbacked Wisconsin | 17c | 119.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -73%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed USC | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Wisconsin | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Wisconsin | 16c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Wisconsin | 12c | 87.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Wisconsin | 66c | 80$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb1…36f3backed Wisconsin | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed USC | 50c | 60.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xccac…ab7dbacked USC | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Wisconsin | 40c | 54.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a04…1993backed Wisconsin | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…e2d3backed USC | 79c | 25.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked USC | 51c | 23.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will USC beat Wisconsin?this page
- Will USC beat Wisconsin by 15 or more points?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.