NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfabce936ae4d04128303425d5063d8220413c89b563e8fcf7d8eba212f2ce60d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 3,022$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.04 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Pelicans | 50c | 1,537$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.54 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Pelicans | 52c | 1,395$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.94 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Pelicans | 47c | 1,225$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.16 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Pelicans | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Pelicans | 4c | 1,009$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Pelicans | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Pelicans | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 987.27$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.61 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 529.07$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.53 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Pelicans | 30c | 483.06$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 458.48$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.48 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 426.19$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.95 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Pelicans | 55c | 399.95$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.97 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -62%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…9c22backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 390$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 346.1$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.74 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 335.18$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.27 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4965…176fbacked Pelicans | 63c | 232.89$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.72 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1999…fedbbacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 201.22$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.67 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7405…2797backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 160$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Pelicans | 70c | 158.35$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.85 | 230 | 48.3%111 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pelicans | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Pelicans | 69c | 148.17$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6b…7b67backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 110.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fd…7e92backed Pelicans | 56c | 105.36$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.43per pick | 53cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…be38backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked Pelicans | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x956b…ebb6backed Trail Blazers | 30c | 80$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33be…c239backed Pelicans | 72c | 76.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf871…7cf7backed Pelicans | 57c | 66.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…ee1bbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 65.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…3216backed Pelicans | 55c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Pelicans | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0615…5c47backed Pelicans | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 138 | 23.2%32 W · 106 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Trail Blazers | 40c | 49.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccac…ab7dbacked Pelicans | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba19…0f73backed Pelicans | 55c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Pelicans | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Trail Blazers | 41c | 35.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca69…fd01backed Pelicans | 38c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Pelicans | 57c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Trail Blazers | 37c | 31.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bea…b0cabacked Pelicans | 63c | 30.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Trail Blazers | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…ef65backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…ad7bbacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…2004backed Pelicans | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeadc…d45fbacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…9ef0backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 28.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5138…1d4dbacked Pelicans | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…1962backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa70…cb2abacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 23.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ef…ae1dbacked Pelicans | 57c | 22.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5433…0d50backed Pelicans | 72c | 20.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f8…5660backed Pelicans | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…9bc6backed Pelicans | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…d596backed Pelicans | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…54c7backed Pelicans | 57c | 18.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…ba91backed Pelicans | 57c | 17.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.