TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

NBA Playoffs: Pacers vs. Bucks (To Advance)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Pacers, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$530,789
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$524,739

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $530,789 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x011f…1122backed Bucks7c109,827$8,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,174.2646426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Bucks39c85,111$33,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,499.5410926.6%29 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Pacers66c76,043$50,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,980.7647848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd189…c895backed Pacers60c41,123$24,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,449.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+55.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2543…71b2backed Bucks40c41,123$16,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,449.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Pacers64c34,797$22,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,514.1270147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Pacers62c34,286$21,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,021.313560.7%82 W · 53 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4344…caefbacked Pacers62c34,263$21,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,0203148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Bucks36c33,298$11,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,870.369946.5%46 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Bucks31c16,612$5,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,097.0759653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00a6…9343backed Pacers59c15,000$8,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,1502441.7%10 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick32cpaid-7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Bucks20c14,300$2,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,86014434%49 W · 95 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Bucks5c10,377$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.361,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Bucks40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Bucks19c10,000$1,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,864.331,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Bucks22c7,589$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.011,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers65c6,992$4,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,447.31,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Bucks10c5,658$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.0716537%61 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x363a…df44backed Bucks5c5,041$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.934841.7%20 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Pacers70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcad…0dacbacked Bucks41c4,878$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007754.5%42 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Pacers70c4,673$3,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.4727547.6%131 W · 144 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bucks21c3,360$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.731,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers58c3,156$1,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.61,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Bucks36c3,096$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10173051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Bucks37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11019448.5%94 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Pacers59c2,891$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.3319149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Pacers66c2,796$1,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.0844740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x637a…6d23backed Bucks42c2,380$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.6714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-69.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Bucks5c2,166$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1416436.6%60 W · 104 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed Bucks5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006026.7%16 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Bucks35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…cd12backed Bucks5c1,882$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.714052.5%21 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Pacers65c1,846$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.1529643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x476a…76bdbacked Pacers70c1,646$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Bucks36c1,396$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.5617356.6%98 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Pacers70c1,300$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39010236.3%37 W · 65 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Bucks30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023342.9%100 W · 133 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Pacers79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21011741.9%49 W · 68 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f65…1592backed Bucks38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3802729.6%8 W · 19 L-5.6wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe9f7…00f9backed Bucks29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2904022.5%9 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Pacers64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36023135.1%81 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Pacers61c909.84$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.849442.6%40 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bucks6c816.06$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.281,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Bucks5c766.21$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.87984.1%4 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-61.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf65e…3850backed Bucks20c765$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024336.2%88 W · 155 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a74…da2dbacked Bucks42c714.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30040%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5554…498dbacked Bucks30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Pacers78c649.95$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.6810551.4%54 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Bucks40c505.07$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.417731.2%24 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+37%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Bucks38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19010244.1%45 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Pacers69c499.99$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15430351.8%157 W · 146 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Pacers61c499.99$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.9935049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcbcd…28babacked Bucks41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d68…b3bcbacked Bucks41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82d8…1a9ebacked Bucks41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-68.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c63…8974backed Bucks41c449.6$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.341650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Bucks19c415.44$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.931,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb44a…8e18backed Bucks30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012033.3%40 W · 80 L-11.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Bucks29c395$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11395848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb633…0dd5backed Bucks33c301.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed Bucks35c300$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10640726%106 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed Bucks12c280$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.859543.2%41 W · 54 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26e4…517abacked Bucks36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100238.7%2 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-77.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xccac…ab7dbacked Bucks38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002536%9 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-31.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Pacers60c251.52$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7520756%116 W · 91 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76bc…009fbacked Bucks17c229.55$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393930.8%12 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Bucks10c223$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.781,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Pacers65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7041227.4%113 W · 299 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+94.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2889…fc69backed Bucks35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706639.4%26 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a14…f397backed Bucks23c179$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3140%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Bucks30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508943.8%39 W · 50 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pacers61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9389353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Pacers61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a0…ac6abacked Pacers61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.938349.4%41 W · 42 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fb2…a893backed Bucks25c162.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Bucks33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0516…dbc2backed Bucks31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.511755.6%65 W · 52 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Pacers71c140$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.661740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd680…c1c4backed Bucks30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Bucks18c100.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0226048.1%125 W · 135 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718c…f792backed Pacers72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287441.9%31 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7813…eeccbacked Bucks30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Bucks40c99.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9822939.7%91 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Bucks34c94.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.253644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4388…9ce4backed Bucks34c88.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019952.3%104 W · 95 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5963…9ee3backed Bucks20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-60.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeddc…9e4fbacked Bucks37c58.24$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86ee…b078backed Pacers67c56.26$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8697…c435backed Bucks20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f67…55bfbacked Bucks41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda1a…5014backed Bucks42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b98…0ca6backed Bucks30c46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.72580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+30.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8976…b2a7backed Bucks37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a67…af26backed Pacers64c38.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.894266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Bucks36c37.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.575225%13 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x930c…f632backed Pacers65c31.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.982450%12 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd0b…41febacked Bucks32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Pacers65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.520248%97 W · 105 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ae…ab03backed Pacers71c27.23$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.