NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb58a6a3660d95f2c5cec70cfb5b3c2ff385e6897a4db37cb117bbd9ad010d41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $579,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $672,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $579,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 752 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 45c | 36,214$16,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,471.01 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…4777backed Nuggets | 30c | 33,114$10,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,110.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Rockets | 14c | 33,097$4,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,674.6 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rockets | 20c | 20,019$3,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,945.14 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Rockets | 0c | 18,493$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Nuggets | 64c | 10,900$6,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,971.74 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…af6ebacked Rockets | 1c | 10,723$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.59 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nuggets | 29c | 10,252$3,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,239.51 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Rockets | 73c | 10,068$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,349.77 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rockets | 29c | 10,056$2,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921.83 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Rockets | 15c | 7,987$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Nuggets | 30c | 6,659$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,659.23 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Nuggets | 30c | 5,711$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,004.19 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Rockets | 25c | 5,601$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.35 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rockets | 67c | 5,200$3,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,493.52 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…9ac8backed Nuggets | 26c | 5,114$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800.54 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…5a05backed Rockets | 74c | 5,008$3,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,706.08 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Rockets | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockets | 21c | 5,000$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockets | 70c | 5,000$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,519.91 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00db…80dabacked Nuggets | 57c | 4,931$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.14 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Rockets | 51c | 4,568$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.68 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets | 33c | 4,334$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.98 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Rockets | 17c | 4,028$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.18 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Rockets | 71c | 3,800$2,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,696 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Rockets | 54c | 3,758$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.86 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Rockets | 70c | 3,552$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489.18 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…ac82backed Nuggets | 26c | 3,451$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.77 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Nuggets | 30c | 3,267$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.23 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Nuggets | 43c | 3,264$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.66 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Nuggets | 26c | 3,200$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Nuggets | 38c | 2,896$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.59 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nuggets | 28c | 2,844$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.69 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Rockets | 77c | 2,780$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.6 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Nuggets | 29c | 2,756$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.3 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Rockets | 68c | 2,451$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.05 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Rockets | 67c | 2,382$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.33 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Rockets | 1c | 2,307$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Nuggets | 62c | 2,261$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.8 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Nuggets | 30c | 2,186$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.68 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Rockets | 2c | 2,089$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockets | 30c | 2,078$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.18 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Rockets | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.97 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Nuggets | 47c | 1,946$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.42 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rockets | 70c | 1,895$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.82 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Rockets | 61c | 1,858$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.01 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Nuggets | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Nuggets | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Nuggets | 29c | 1,379$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.31 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Rockets | 3c | 1,300$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Rockets | 17c | 1,250$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Rockets | 3c | 1,231$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Rockets | 15c | 1,130$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.5 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Nuggets | 37c | 1,100$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.6 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…725abacked Rockets | 2c | 1,089$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Nuggets | 73c | 1,056$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.21 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Rockets | 1c | 1,054$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rockets | 46c | 1,000$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…43f6backed Rockets | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Nuggets | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Nuggets | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Rockets | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Nuggets | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked Nuggets | 30c | 932.92$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.04 | 350 | 50.6%177 W · 173 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Nuggets | 27c | 880.01$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.41 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Rockets | 69c | 878.69$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.51 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rockets | 71c | 873$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.83 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb4…bc50backed Rockets | 71c | 842.68$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Rockets | 8c | 723.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…755dbacked Nuggets | 80c | 709.33$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.87 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Rockets | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…51d3backed Nuggets | 29c | 700$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rockets | 70c | 683.98$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.71 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Rockets | 4c | 670$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 278 | 48.9%136 W · 142 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Rockets | 53c | 651.26$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.17 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Rockets | 68c | 643.06$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.45 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Rockets | 70c | 625.61$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.93 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Nuggets | 35c | 619.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.54 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockets | 54c | 615.03$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.24 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Nuggets | 31c | 605.38$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.66 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Rockets | 71c | 600.38$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.27 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Rockets | 78c | 600$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Rockets | 70c | 570$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.7 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Rockets | 72c | 563.76$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.11 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Rockets | 71c | 557.92$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.12 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Rockets | 2c | 557.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Rockets | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…4517backed Rockets | 19c | 549$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.63 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rockets | 43c | 521.43$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.59 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Rockets | 27c | 519.69$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.81 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7946…1c01backed Nuggets | 29c | 513.4$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…d101backed Rockets | 74c | 508.76$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Rockets | 20c | 502.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Rockets | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Rockets | 70c | 500$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Rockets | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Rockets | 71c | 490.02$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Rockets | 42c | 478.19$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.84 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Rockets | 15c | 464$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.16 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Rockets | 73c | 453.42$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.