NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7724f3522042b684101a2712e37681f7709c86379bcf59bc55f60533b06a9a2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bucks, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $631,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $598,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $631,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 408 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Bucks | 65c | 46,602$30,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,469.32 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…9ac8backed Lakers | 26c | 43,880$11,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,202.99 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 6c | 42,959$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770.45 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…c201backed Bucks | 73c | 37,308$27,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,227.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…59dfbacked Bucks | 57c | 24,734$14,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,635.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Bucks | 62c | 23,267$14,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,740.82 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Lakers | 2c | 23,139$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.86 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Lakers | 28c | 20,937$5,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,794.08 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers | 38c | 15,150$5,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,794.46 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Lakers | 26c | 14,901$3,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,806.72 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Bucks | 75c | 14,335$10,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,610.47 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Lakers | 41c | 14,290$5,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,853.39 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Bucks | 75c | 14,108$10,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,505.37 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Bucks | 70c | 13,216$9,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,964.79 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…1e69backed Lakers | 43c | 12,322$5,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,298.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Bucks | 62c | 12,073$7,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,607.85 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd6…3b62backed Lakers | 42c | 12,070$5,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,069.38 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6b…7ac2backed Lakers | 43c | 11,950$5,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,138.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Bucks | 76c | 11,653$8,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.43 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Bucks | 63c | 11,143$7,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,126.15 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bucks | 64c | 10,307$6,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,659.89 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Lakers | 31c | 9,552$2,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.3 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Lakers | 44c | 9,475$4,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,177.65 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Lakers | 1c | 9,256$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.61 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Lakers | 10c | 8,779$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2981…d5bebacked Bucks | 76c | 6,580$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.29 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Lakers | 19c | 5,750$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Lakers | 26c | 5,741$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.63 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Lakers | 36c | 5,198$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.37 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Lakers | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lakers | 24c | 4,982$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.84 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Bucks | 76c | 4,358$3,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Lakers | 30c | 4,333$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Bucks | 64c | 4,302$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.75 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Lakers | 36c | 4,280$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.44 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Lakers | 7c | 4,217$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.81 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Lakers | 30c | 4,045$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.89 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Lakers | 5c | 3,922$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Lakers | 38c | 3,900$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.97 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Bucks | 68c | 3,831$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.31 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Bucks | 61c | 3,664$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.7 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Lakers | 25c | 3,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Lakers | 33c | 3,462$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.24 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Lakers | 26c | 3,421$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.46 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bucks | 72c | 3,256$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.23 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bucks | 75c | 3,249$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.27 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lakers | 36c | 3,182$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.42 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Lakers | 32c | 3,179$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.58 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Lakers | 17c | 3,078$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.11 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Lakers | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.94 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Bucks | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Lakers | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.96 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Lakers | 5c | 2,990$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.69 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Lakers | 28c | 2,969$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.56 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Bucks | 68c | 2,887$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.74 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Bucks | 66c | 2,721$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.72 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ae…5141backed Bucks | 75c | 2,652$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.45 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…b17ebacked Lakers | 6c | 2,587$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bucks | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Lakers | 1c | 2,321$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Lakers | 21c | 2,168$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.91 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Bucks | 57c | 2,144$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.99 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Lakers | 43c | 2,116$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.17 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…5cb5backed Lakers | 2c | 2,100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Lakers | 5c | 2,043$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…322bbacked Bucks | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Lakers | 37c | 2,000$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.99 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…1dd8backed Lakers | 42c | 1,997$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Lakers | 38c | 1,828$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.64 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644c…8f6bbacked Lakers | 14c | 1,821$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.48 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Lakers | 14c | 1,761$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…9e23backed Lakers | 15c | 1,735$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.79 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccb8…33cdbacked Bucks | 71c | 1,697$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.1 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Bucks | 61c | 1,685$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.31 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Bucks | 63c | 1,683$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.42 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Bucks | 75c | 1,639$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.83 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lakers | 11c | 1,634$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.04 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Lakers | 47c | 1,585$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.65 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…b01fbacked Lakers | 26c | 1,538$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lakers | 24c | 1,535$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.32 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Bucks | 74c | 1,521$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.37 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Bucks | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lakers | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Bucks | 57c | 1,500$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.44 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Lakers | 41c | 1,470$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6c…42b2backed Lakers | 27c | 1,455$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.09 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c6…21bfbacked Bucks | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d61…75cfbacked Bucks | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Lakers | 32c | 1,348$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.34 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Lakers | 3c | 1,300$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…ac82backed Lakers | 25c | 1,215$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Lakers | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f3…db29backed Lakers | 19c | 1,200$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe634…7a95backed Bucks | 71c | 1,165$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.72 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Bucks | 75c | 1,119$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.83 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f72…4d8ebacked Lakers | 6c | 1,102$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf51e…d774backed Bucks | 57c | 1,091$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Bucks | 77c | 1,044$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.11 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Bucks | 53c | 1,018$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.31 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Lakers | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.