NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fd9a4d8ea29ddb84071c718d696ace117f1a4965382cd54a3dd714ce6670c68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Pacers, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Pacers | 52c | 7,444$3,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,581.27 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Pacers | 43c | 6,217$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,550.78 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Pacers | 55c | 5,778$3,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.34 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Mavericks | 64c | 4,779$3,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,066.75 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Mavericks | 48c | 2,856$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.63 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Mavericks | 40c | 1,491$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.43 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Mavericks | 14c | 1,266$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.92 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…d4f6backed Mavericks | 42c | 1,144$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pacers | 45c | 1,001$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.77 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x442b…5410backed Pacers | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…2734backed Mavericks | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Mavericks | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Mavericks | 64c | 976.18$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.76 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Mavericks | 48c | 966.67$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Mavericks | 52c | 939.68$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.13 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f6…42e5backed Mavericks | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Mavericks | 46c | 860.6$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Mavericks | 47c | 710.25$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.95 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mavericks | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ee…ae97backed Mavericks | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4965…176fbacked Pacers | 56c | 538.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.21 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Pacers | 56c | 522.53$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.38 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5063…9826backed Mavericks | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Pacers | 52c | 489.22$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.22 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Mavericks | 50c | 486.55$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56a6…56f4backed Mavericks | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…3c94backed Mavericks | 51c | 391.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Mavericks | 53c | 376.87$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.39 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Pacers | 37c | 339.81$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.81 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Mavericks | 3c | 339.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Mavericks | 59c | 330.56$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.56 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Pacers | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Mavericks | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked Mavericks | 24c | 222.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7405…2797backed Mavericks | 51c | 203.39$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.1 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…f6febacked Pacers | 33c | 199.96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0a…17b3backed Mavericks | 55c | 178.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4384…f52fbacked Pacers | 35c | 169.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.78 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca69…fd01backed Pacers | 51c | 160.57$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.41 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mavericks | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f5…0009backed Pacers | 36c | 139.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.36 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…be38backed Pacers | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa357…d47cbacked Mavericks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Mavericks | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…91e3backed Mavericks | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5433…0d50backed Pacers | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Mavericks | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Pacers | 33c | 89.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.17 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…b5a0backed Mavericks | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Mavericks | 52c | 81.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fd…7e92backed Mavericks | 66c | 81.48$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.43per pick | 53cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed Mavericks | 50c | 80.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 243 | 36.2%88 W · 155 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ea…3039backed Mavericks | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Mavericks | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfe…1b03backed Mavericks | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers | 36c | 76.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.06 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2d…58b9backed Mavericks | 56c | 74.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead7…efedbacked Mavericks | 52c | 71.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6d…81c2backed Pacers | 42c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…c994backed Mavericks | 66c | 60.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Mavericks | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…dc5abacked Mavericks | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…188bbacked Pacers | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 186 | 28%52 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba19…0f73backed Pacers | 35c | 56.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Pacers | 47c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccac…ab7dbacked Mavericks | 54c | 52.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Pacers | 41c | 52.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Mavericks | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 395 | 48.4%191 W · 204 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…688bbacked Mavericks | 65c | 43.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Mavericks | 64c | 39.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf1…fb9cbacked Mavericks | 52c | 39.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Mavericks | 65c | 38.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…9721backed Mavericks | 45c | 37.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Pacers | 44c | 32.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…d8dfbacked Mavericks | 67c | 31.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18cb…7364backed Mavericks | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e40…e7f1backed Mavericks | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…ad7bbacked Pacers | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf319…1d1abacked Mavericks | 49c | 29.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…a1b2backed Mavericks | 52c | 28.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce3…0b89backed Mavericks | 61c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked Pacers | 54c | 25.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…a1e0backed Mavericks | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3b…c2dabacked Mavericks | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…6020backed Mavericks | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…456ebacked Mavericks | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…ec88backed Mavericks | 65c | 15.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.