NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9339e3e101f87bb5a1d7b7b62d04b611e0ef7a379687c165824d9a2c08a54554
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $373,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $403,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $373,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 876 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Heat | 51c | 22,616$11,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,487.02 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Pistons | 47c | 18,614$8,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,832.82 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Heat | 36c | 14,906$5,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,411.73 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 49c | 13,113$6,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,389.38 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Heat | 52c | 13,063$6,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,827.68 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47a…fd11backed Pistons | 57c | 12,582$7,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,428.06 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Pistons | 52c | 10,000$5,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Heat | 51c | 9,494$4,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,864.38 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Heat | 50c | 7,769$3,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,910.43 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Pistons | 65c | 7,007$4,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.38 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Pistons | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pistons | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.99 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Heat | 37c | 4,612$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.88 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed Heat | 36c | 4,337$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.96 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 50c | 4,241$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.83 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Pistons | 47c | 4,167$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.47 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Pistons | 66c | 4,110$2,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.44 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 48c | 4,089$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.63 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7a…4226backed Heat | 36c | 4,080$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pistons | 63c | 4,000$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.98 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pistons | 43c | 3,957$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.95 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ead…cf47backed Pistons | 53c | 3,785$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.91 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Heat | 38c | 3,704$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.62 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 36c | 3,050$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.99 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…744dbacked Heat | 36c | 2,962$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Pistons | 64c | 2,730$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.8 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Pistons | 64c | 2,550$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.45 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Pistons | 65c | 2,548$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.26 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Pistons | 42c | 2,524$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.05 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Heat | 34c | 2,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.94 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Pistons | 64c | 2,399$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.49 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf558…04dabacked Pistons | 64c | 2,389$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1394…e7adbacked Pistons | 64c | 2,342$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…6228backed Pistons | 64c | 2,311$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Heat | 36c | 2,300$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Pistons | 44c | 2,280$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.72 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Heat | 44c | 2,197$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.48 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Heat | 51c | 2,168$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.43 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…2dfcbacked Pistons | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Pistons | 60c | 1,822$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.5 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x638e…9bd1backed Heat | 44c | 1,806$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Pistons | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.13 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Pistons | 54c | 1,611$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.8 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Heat | 2c | 1,600$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x965f…f167backed Heat | 34c | 1,529$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d8…a851backed Pistons | 66c | 1,527$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.09 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…1dd8backed Pistons | 64c | 1,503$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…322bbacked Heat | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Pistons | 65c | 1,484$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.56 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Pistons | 41c | 1,352$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.38 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Heat | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x644c…8f6bbacked Pistons | 54c | 1,261$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.72 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Heat | 52c | 1,235$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Heat | 33c | 1,201$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.38 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Heat | 35c | 1,111$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.96 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Heat | 36c | 1,110$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.29 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…725abacked Heat | 1c | 1,100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Heat | 37c | 1,082$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.21 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Heat | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Pistons | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pistons | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Heat | 37c | 999.9$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.96 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Pistons | 62c | 968.98$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.13 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…25a4backed Pistons | 52c | 966.16$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.16 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Pistons | 64c | 874.8$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.58 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Pistons | 46c | 871.28$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.14 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Pistons | 61c | 862.17$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.81 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…6760backed Pistons | 64c | 845.27$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Pistons | 63c | 801.59$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.59 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Pistons | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Pistons | 63c | 762.99$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.31 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Pistons | 66c | 754.87$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.87 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Heat | 51c | 738.6$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.91 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Heat | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Heat | 54c | 700.75$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.98 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Pistons | 50c | 700$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Heat | 35c | 671.98$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.58 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Pistons | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2c…a0a4backed Pistons | 54c | 630.63$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.24 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b57…d285backed Heat | 23c | 630$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.85 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Heat | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.8 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Heat | 25c | 573.24$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.31 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Heat | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pistons | 53c | 568.27$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.47 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Heat | 25c | 556$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.56 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e0…b2b4backed Pistons | 60c | 545.81$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.32 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Pistons | 65c | 538.46$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.46 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Heat | 36c | 528.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.44 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pistons | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Pistons | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Pistons | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Pistons | 62c | 499.93$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.97 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pistons | 63c | 496.94$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Pistons | 63c | 481.6$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.41 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Heat | 34c | 463.11$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.46 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…5f70backed Heat | 54c | 457.57$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.39 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb895…ffe4backed Heat | 55c | 454.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Heat | 35c | 420.65$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.37 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Heat | 36c | 420.31$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.31 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Heat | 37c | 418.3$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.77 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.