Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d3d649a8363f04140dd8b994414ea336f67184589cd2881758c4c7be4671ce1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,424,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,422,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,424,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 491 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9642…d2abbacked Yes | 4c | 107,154$4,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,130.68 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ae…15e0backed Yes | 24c | 70,968$17,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,033.18 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked Yes | 56c | 64,613$36,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,467.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…eb1dbacked No | 50c | 54,294$27,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,207.92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 56c | 49,638$27,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,746.9 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 3c | 45,733$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.27 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be2…8b8abacked Yes | 3c | 43,380$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.17 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 0c | 35,743$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.75 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 43c | 32,466$13,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,831.45 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…b6a5backed Yes | 0c | 29,062$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.47 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 52c | 27,553$14,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,201.22 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 8c | 27,421$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.53 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1cfabacked Yes | 25c | 27,202$6,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,705.35 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3eb…8d3ebacked No | 40c | 24,844$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,843.51 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 1c | 24,044$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.74 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 6c | 23,230$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.85 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 30c | 20,514$6,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,425.8 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 20,018$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.6 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed No | 44c | 20,000$8,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,206.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9636…1f74backed Yes | 51c | 19,713$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 65c | 19,467$12,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,852.71 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807e…50d6backed Yes | 0c | 18,317$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 30c | 17,706$5,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,343.23 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 3c | 17,388$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 43c | 16,496$7,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,045.85 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a19…c9e3backed Yes | 2c | 15,673$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.51 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 35c | 15,588$5,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,408.77 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 39c | 15,197$5,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,874.85 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b2…17e4backed Yes | 14c | 15,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…d271backed Yes | 1c | 13,151$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed No | 77c | 13,138$10,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.42 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…51d4backed No | 52c | 12,912$6,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,232.38 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 4c | 12,180$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 1c | 11,443$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.91 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b98…df12backed No | 47c | 10,615$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,615.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 76c | 10,526$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2adf…d89cbacked No | 74c | 10,189$7,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,685.81 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +16.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…72ffbacked Yes | 27c | 10,003$2,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,723.95 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed No | 43c | 10,000$4,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,706.5 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd78…dcd8backed Yes | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 8c | 9,702$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.83 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed No | 69c | 9,554$6,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952.07 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…942cbacked No | 49c | 9,208$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,707.95 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 5c | 8,500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.99 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5c…a435backed Yes | 3c | 8,255$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 1c | 8,214$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.13 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 12c | 8,059$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.83 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 15cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed No | 51c | 7,820$3,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,830.5 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…8cbdbacked Yes | 2c | 7,403$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…667fbacked Yes | 4c | 7,212$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d34…5aaebacked No | 62c | 7,043$4,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738b…17dabacked No | 78c | 7,032$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa050…3e54backed Yes | 2c | 6,870$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0926…51dabacked Yes | 43c | 6,829$2,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,903.84 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -86%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…783ebacked No | 75c | 6,699$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.59 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd782…9285backed Yes | 3c | 6,670$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed No | 43c | 6,506$2,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.98 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…0eb4backed Yes | 51c | 6,500$3,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,317.71 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…8108backed Yes | 3c | 6,390$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…4db0backed No | 42c | 5,925$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,414.3 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…71d6backed Yes | 13c | 5,390$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f8…8d75backed No | 67c | 5,328$3,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.3 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Yes | 4c | 5,314$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 2.4%2 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…a376backed Yes | 45c | 5,201$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.67 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Yes | 66c | 5,062$3,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,332 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6306…852abacked Yes | 34c | 5,050$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.55 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 40c | 5,012$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…d91ebacked No | 77c | 5,000$3,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.88 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7e…d472backed No | 53c | 4,942$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.13 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xded3…b470backed Yes | 3c | 4,788$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d1…7a26backed Yes | 2c | 4,612$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…3c19backed Yes | 33c | 4,585$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…194cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,522$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…d54ebacked No | 57c | 4,400$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.02 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2708…505bbacked No | 55c | 4,400$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed No | 62c | 4,397$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.64 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…d376backed No | 69c | 4,129$2,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.07 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked Yes | 52c | 4,094$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.41 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1c…55cabacked Yes | 5c | 4,059$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.08 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd091…4715backed Yes | 2c | 4,005$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec0…37c1backed Yes | 6c | 4,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.95 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…12a9backed Yes | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…436bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,866$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -65%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 23c | 3,707$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.64 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…7158backed Yes | 25c | 3,595$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2154…715cbacked Yes | 62c | 3,500$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.19 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 67c | 3,430$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.35 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa740…ee18backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…06eebacked Yes | 14c | 2,962$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.57 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd3…68d5backed No | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…4bc0backed No | 50c | 2,669$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.3 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed No | 39c | 2,572$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +274.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6339…a0c9backed No | 63c | 2,449$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff86…897ebacked No | 55c | 2,300$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked Yes | 44c | 2,288$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.81 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…d1cabacked No | 50c | 2,250$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e09…3c66backed Yes | 2c | 2,248$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…4673backed Yes | 4c | 2,220$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…af58backed No | 75c | 2,179$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.65 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe714…bd2dbacked Yes | 47c | 2,141$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $103K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110K in September?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $112K in September?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $114K in September?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $116K in September?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $135K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.